Rating Rationale
December 14, 2016 | Mumbai
Shivam Autotech Limited
Long-term rating downgraded to 'CRISIL BBB+/Negative'
 
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.2934.2 Million
Long Term Rating CRISIL BBB+/Negative (Downgraded from 'CRISIL A-/Negative')
Long Term Rating Withdrawal
Short Term Rating Withdrawal
(Refer to Annexure 1 for Facility-wise details)

CRISIL has downgraded the rating of Rs 1384.20 million rupee term loan facilities of Shivam Autotech Limited (Shivam) to 'CRISIL BBB+/Negative' from 'CRISIL A-/Negative'. Furthermore, CRISIL has withdrawn its rating on Shivam's cash credit limit of Rs 1,150 million and letter of credit along with bank guarantee of Rs 400 million on Shivam's request and upon completion of notice period, in line with CRISIL's policy on withdrawal of its ratings on bank loans.
 
The rating actions are based solely on publicly available information, as Shivam has had only limited interaction with CRISIL in its surveillance process.
 
The downgrade reflects CRISIL's belief that Shivam's business risk profile will take longer than expected to improve owing to delay in successful ramp-up of operations at its greenfield units in Bengaluru and Rohtak, Haryana. The downgrade also reflects Shivam's continuing high leverage levels (gearing increased to above 1.7 times as on September 30, 2016 from 1.57 times as on March 31, 2016) following more-than-expected debt stock, resulting from higher-than-expected debt-funded capital expenditure (capex) being implemented. CRISIL believes that given the delay in meaningful contribution from the debt-funded capex, growth in cash accrual will be restricted and working capital levels will remain high, gearing is expected to remain elevated over the medium term than earlier anticipated. Liquidity is also moderate; cash accrual is expected to be just about adequate in the near to medium term to meet debt obligation.
 
Lower-than-expected contribution from new facilities resulted in modest fixed costs absorption along with additional marketing and development expenses leading to decline in operating profitability to 13.7% in first half of fiscal 2017 from 16.6% in fiscal 2016. Delay in material contribution from the newly set-up units will constrain operating profitability margins, expected at around 14% over the medium term (this is below CRISIL's earlier expectation of around 17% over the medium term). The asset turnover and return on capital employed (RoCE) are also likely to remain modest over the medium term. These metrics had declined after significant capex of Rs 2.28 billion in fiscal 2014 to fiscal 2016. RoCE was low at 9.5% in fiscal 2016 and is likely to see only a muted improvement in the next couple of years.
 
The company is expected to have modest capex requirement, after commissioning its Rohtak unit. Its correction in capital structure is, however, also contingent on successfully ramping up operations in the greenfield projects and thereby improve cash accrual along with working capital position. However, the ramping up of operations is likely to get delayed, resulting in gearing of 1.5 times or more over the medium term, while key debt protection metrics too are expected to remain modest.
 
Net cash accrual is likely to have limited cushion versus repayment obligation, until the contributions from new manufacturing units' ramp up significantly. Cash accrual is expected at Rs 300-400 million annually, against sizeable repayments of around Rs 300 million in fiscal 2017 and over Rs 400 million in fiscals 2018 and 2019. However, liquidity is supported by access to partly unutilised working capital bank lines, and is able to raise funds from non-financial banking companies during exigencies.
 
The ratings continue to reflect Shivam's moderate business risk profile, supported by steady sales by Hero MotoCorp, and healthy-though-declining operating profitability. These strengths are partially offset by working capital-intensive operations and modest financial risk profile.

Outlook: Negative

CRISIL believes Shivam's gearing will remain elevated for the rating category. Any further improvement in capital structure will only be gradual given its delay in ramping up of operations from its greenfield projects, incremental working capital and sizable repayments over the medium term.
 
Upside scenario
* Significant and sustained improvement in business performance due to earlier-than-expected ramp-up of utilisation of the new plants
* Sustained improvement in operating margin to above 18%, and consequent substantial increase in cash accrual and debt protection metrics
* Material and sustained decline in overall debt leading to improvement in overall gearing to below 1.2 times by March 31, 2018
 
Downside scenario
* Further moderation in debt protection metrics due to incremental working capital needs for new units or due to a fresh, large capex
* Decline in operating profitability margins
* Sustained decline in revenue from key customers, affecting overall business profile

About the Company

Shivam was incorporated in 2005, when Munjal Auto Industries Ltd hived off its forging and machining divisions into a separate legal entity. Shivam is a part of the Satyanand Munjal group, and set up a unit in Binola (Haryana) in 1999 to meet Hero MotoCorp's component requirements.
 
Shivam manufactures transmission gears, transmission shafts, and various other components for two'wheelers, and plungers used in fuel pumps in passenger cars. In April 2009, the company commissioned a greenfield facility in Haridwar (Uttarakhand) to service Hero MotoCorp's product requirements.
 
Profit after tax (PAT) was Rs 192.4 million on net sales of Rs 4.24 billion in fiscal 2016 as against PAT of Rs 281.4 million on net sales of Rs 4.45 billion in fiscal 2015.

Annexure 1 - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Million) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Million) Rating
Cash Credit* 1150 Withdrawal Cash Credit* 1150 CRISIL A-/Negative(Notice of Withdrawal)
Letter of Credit 400 Withdrawal Letter of Credit 400 CRISIL A2+(Notice of Withdrawal)
Rupee Term Loan 1384.2 CRISIL BBB+/Negative Proposed Long Term Bank Loan Facility 117.8 Withdrawal
-- 0 -- Rupee Term Loan 1384.2 CRISIL A-/Negative
Total 2934.2 -- Total 3052 --
*Interchangeable with working capital demand loans

Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating Criteria for Manufacturing Companies
Rating Criteria for Auto Component Suppliers
Criteria for rating Short-Term Debt (including Commercial Paper)

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