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Riding on the OEM wave

 

Key messages

 

  • The automotive (auto) components sector to see healthy double-digit revenue growth this fiscal
    • Revenue from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to grow 12-14%, supported by demand from the passenger vehicle (PV) and commercial vehicle (CV) segments
    • Exports to be affected by global headwinds, to grow 6-8%
    • Steady growth of 6-8% in the replacement market
  • Operating margin to increase 50 basis points (bps)
    • Higher realisations because of better product mix, moderation in input prices and cost-efficiency measures to support profitability
  • Credit outlook ‘Stable’; capital expenditure (capex) to increase (including under the Production-linked Incentive [PLI] scheme)
    • Capex spending will increase, in line with OEM capex
    • Acquisitions gaining momentum, with focus on product diversity, technology and customer acquisition
    • Better cash generation, strong balance sheets and superior liquidity will keep debt metrics healthy
  • Key monitorables
    • Movement in commodity prices
    • Global macroeconomic developments
    • Ability to indigenise electric vehicle (EV) components