Article of the month

CRISIL Ratings Annual Infrastructure Summit: Revving roads and renewables

 

Executive summary

 

  • Installed capacity of solar and wind to double to 218 GW in the next five fiscals from 108 GW as of March 2023
    • Executable pipeline strong at ~50 GW, provides visibility for this fiscal and the next
    • Pickup in auctions augurs well for capacity implementation over next fiscal onwards 
  • Rising renewable capacity to necessitate storage for grid balancing; 7-11 GW of storage capacity expected in the next five fiscals
  • Sector to require investment of ~Rs 6.4 lakh crore over the next five years; capital availability to remain conducive
  • Credit view on renewable developers stable:
    • Ebitda to grow 20% driven by healthy capacitygrowth 
    • Operating performances to remain stable
    • Debt to rise, but leverage seen steady at ~7 times with healthy DSCRs of 1.2-1.3 times