Rating Rationale
August 24, 2017 | Mumbai
Alkem Laboratories Limited
Long-term rating upgraded to 'CRISIL AA+/Stable'; short-term rating reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.175 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL AA+/Stable (Upgraded from 'CRISIL AA/Positive')
Short Term Rating CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
 
Rs.700 Crore Commercial Paper CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has upgraded its rating on long-term bank facilities of Alkem Laboratories Limited (Alkem) to 'CRISIL AA+/Stable' from 'CRISIL AA/Positive', and reaffirmed the rating on the short-term facility and debt programme at 'CRISIL A1+'.

The upgrade reflects expectation of sustained improvement in business risk profile over the medium term, backed by higher than industry growth rate of 15% in both the domestic and export segments, gradual diversification of revenue profile, and sustainability of operating margin at 17-18%. Strong brands, high productivity of large marketing workforce, and wide distribution reach led to healthy growth of about 19.2% in the domestic segment in fiscal 2017 which is expected to sustain over the medium term. Currently, the company has 6500 medical representatives, with about 1500 dedicated for the chronic segment. Revenue profile is also expected to diversify gradually with share of the export segment expected to increase to 30-32% over the medium term from 26.8% in fiscal 2017. The turnover declined in the first quarter of fiscal 2018 with implementation of goods and services tax (GST); consequently the operating margin declined to 7.3%, from 18.6%, for the corresponding period last year. CRISIL believes the impact to be transitional and the revenue growth is expected to return to double digit levels by second half of fiscal 2018, even as the re-stocking by trade channels has already commenced, albeit at a slow pace, in second quarter. Additionally, operating profitability is likely to be aided by gradual diversification and improved realisation.

The financial risk profile is strong, with a conservative adjusted gearing of 0.16 time and liquid surplus of Rs 502 crore, as on March 31, 2017. It is in the process of substantially liquidating its investment of Rs 193.4 crore as on March 31, 2017 in a real estate fund over the near to medium term and no further investment is expected to be made in real estate. The company has capital expenditure (capex) plans of Rs 600-700 crore annually which are expected to be prudently funded through internal accrual and debt.

The ratings reflect Alkem's established position in the formulations market in India, gradual diversification of revenue profile, and strong financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by high dependence on the acute therapeutic segment and susceptibility to regulatory changes, including price revisions under Drug Price Control Order (DPCO).

Analytical Approach

For arriving at the ratings, CRISIL has combined the business and financial risk profiles of Alkem and its 20 subsidiaries and step-down subsidiaries. This is because all these entities, collectively referred to as Alkem, operate in the pharmaceutical and related businesses, and have significant operational linkages and a common management. CRISIL has amortised goodwill on consolidation over five years - profit after tax and networth are adjusted to that extent. 

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
* Established market position
Alkem ranks fifth (Source: Company Annual Report, IMS TSA Moving Average Total (MAT), March 2017) in the domestic formulations market, with strong position in antibiotics, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and gastroenterology. Its leading antibiotic brand, Clavam, is the second-largest-selling brand in the molecule category (as per IMS TSA MAT March 2017). Alkem has other leading brands, Taxim and Taxim-O, with a total 14 brands that feature among the top 300 revenue-generating brands in India (IMS Health, March 2017). The company has maintained its peak rank in anti-infective therapy and third position in gastro-intestinal and pain/analgesics therapies.

* Strong financial risk profile
Adjusted gearing was conservative at less than 0.20 time as on March 31, 2017. It plans to substantially liquidate investment of Rs 193.4 crore (fair value of Rs 275.60 crore) in a real estate fund. Annual capital expenditure (capex) of Rs 600-700 crore expected to be prudently funded through internal accrual and debt. As revenue contribution of the international market increases, working capital cycle is likely to be stretched. Gross current assets were 156 days as on March 31, 2017, due to receivables and inventory of 45 days and 94 days, respectively. Efficient management of working capital will be a key monitorable. Financial risk profile, however, should remain healthy, backed by steady cash flow over the medium term.

* Adequate liquidity
Expected cash accrual of over Rs 800 crore will be more than sufficient to repay debt of Rs 5.53 crore and Rs 167.6 crore for fiscals 2018 and 2019, respectively. Also, utilisation of fund-based bank limit was modest at about 52% for the 12 months ended June 2017. Liquid surplus and unencumbered marketable investments of Rs 502 crore as on March 31, 2017 (excluding investments in real estate fund), also support liquidity.

Weakness

* High dependence on the acute therapeutic segments and domestic market
A sizeable proportion of revenue comes from the slow-growing acute therapeutic segments (about 85% of domestic revenue in fiscal 2017) such as anti-infective and pain management, in the domestic market. This exposes the company to pricing pressure given intense competition; with a high proportion of products under price control. In recent years, Alkem has ventured into the fast-growing cardiovascular, neuropsychiatry, and oncology segments. Of the 6500 sales representative, about 1500 are in the chronic segment. Although Alkem has created separate divisions to focus on the chronic therapeutic segment, contribution from this may continue to be substantial over the medium term. 

* Exposure to risks related to regulatory changes
Alkem is susceptible to regulatory changes in the Indian and global markets. Additions to lists under DPCO impacts product pricing and hence profitability of players, though the extent of impact may differ. In fiscal 2017, price ceilings were brought about for another 100 products, thereby affecting domestic revenue growth. In the international market, regulatory risks are manifested by increasing scrutiny and inspections by the US Food Drug Administration, European Medical Agency, and Therapeutic Goods Administration, Australia. However, Alkem's track record has remained unblemished with no major issues.
Outlook: Stable

CRISIL believes Alkem's business risk profile will sustain over the medium term, led by high double-digit growth of both the domestic and international segments, gradual diversification of revenue profile, and sustenance of operating margin at 17-18% over the medium term.

Upward Scenario
* Significant revenue growth
* Strong and sustained improvement in operating margin led by higher share of chronic and international segments
* Sustenance of financial risk profile, backed by efficient working capital management

Downward Scenario
* Sustained decline in operating margin
* Subdued growth rate because of increased competition or downward price revisions
* Larger-than-expected debt-funded capex or acquisition adversely affecting capital structure or debt protection metrics

About the Company

Incorporated in 1973 and promoted by Mr Samprada Singh and his cousin, Mr Basudeo N Singh, Alkem is among the top 10 players in India's formulations market. It is present in the therapeutic segments, including antibiotics, NSAIDs, gastroenterology, and antioxidants. The company is also present in chronic segments such as neuropsychiatry, cardiovascular, and oncology. It exports to the US, countries in Asia-Pacific region, Latin America, Africa, and the Commonwealth of Independent States.

It has manufacturing facilities for formulations in Baddi (Himachal Pradesh), Sikkim, Daman, St Louis (Missouri, United States) and active pharmaceutical ingredient facilities in Mandva (Gujarat), Ankleshwar (Gujarat) and California (United States). Furthermore, it has four research and development facilities located across India and the US.

Key Financial Indicators
Particulars Unit 2017 2016
Revenue Rs. Cr. 5,661 4,974
Profit After Tax Rs. Cr. 855 640
PAT margins % 15.1   12.9
Adjusted Debt/Adjusted Net worth Times 0.16 0.20
Interest coverage Times 24.4 15.1

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of Instrument Date of Allotment Coupon Rate (%) Maturity Date Issue Size
(Rs. Cr)
Rating Assigned
with Outlook
NA Bank Guarantee NA NA NA 25 CRISIL A1+
NA Cash Credit* NA NA NA 100 CRISIL AA+/Stable
NA Letter of Credit# NA NA NA 50 CRISIL AA+/Stable
NA Commercial Paper NA NA 7-365 days 700.00 CRISIL A1+
*Includes Rs 15 crore export packing credit and pre-shipment credit limits
#Letter of credit can be wholly utilised as cash credit limit
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2017 (History) 2016  2015  2014  Start of 2014
Instrument Type Quantum Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Commercial Paper  ST  700  CRISIL A1+    No Rating Change    No Rating Change    No Rating Change    No Rating Change  CRISIL A1+ 
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  100  CRISIL AA+/Stable    No Rating Change  26-08-16  CRISIL AA/Positive    No Rating Change    No Rating Change  CRISIL AA/Stable 
Non Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  75  CRISIL AA+/Stable/ CRISIL A1+    No Rating Change  26-08-16  CRISIL AA/Positive/ CRISIL A1+    No Rating Change    No Rating Change  CRISIL AA/Stable/ CRISIL A1+ 
Table reflects instances where rating is changed or freshly assigned. 'No Rating Change' implies that there was no rating change under the release.
 
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Bank Guarantee 25 CRISIL A1+ Bank Guarantee 25 CRISIL A1+
Cash Credit* 100 CRISIL AA+/Stable Cash Credit* 100 CRISIL AA/Positive
Letter of Credit# 50 CRISIL AA+/Stable Letter of Credit# 50 CRISIL AA/Positive
Total 175 -- Total 175 --
*Includes Rs 15 crore export packing credit and pre-shipment credit limits
#Letter of credit can be wholly utilised as cash credit limit
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
Rating Criteria for the Pharmaceutical Industry
Criteria for rating Short-Term Debt (including Commercial Paper)

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