Rating Rationale
October 31, 2017 | Mumbai
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited
Ratings Reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.2400 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL AA/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Short Term Rating CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
 
Rs.200 Crore Non-Convertible Debentures CRISIL AA/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Rs.319 Crore Non-Convertible Debentures CRISIL AA/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Rs.200 Crore Non-Convertible Debentures CRISIL AA/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Fixed deposits FAA+/Stable (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has reaffirmed its 'CRISIL AA/FAA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+' ratings on the debt programmes and bank facilities of Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited (AHEL).

Operating profitability of existing hospitals segment was hit in fiscal 2017 and the first quarter of 2018 by one-time factors such as demonetisation of high-value currency notes in November 2016, and regulations for stent price control. Also, occupancy at the Apollo Gleneagles Kolkata Hospital dropped sharply in the first quarter of 2018 due to certain one-time events, impacting profitability. However, occupancy improved by the end of the second quarter, and is expected to stabilize in the second half of the fiscal.

While profitability of new hospitals has improved, operating loss at the recently commissioned Navi Mumbai facility limited profitability in this segment. However, the Navi Mumbai hospital witnessed healthy occupancy of 50%, and is expected to ramp-up operations as per schedule. With limited capacity addition in the medium term, profitability of new hospitals should improve.
The pharmacy segment's profitability improved to 4.3% in fiscal 2017 from 3.6% in fiscal 2016, aided by store addition, increase in revenue per store and cost rationalization.

The ratings continue to reflect the company's established and leading market position, healthy operating profitability, and strong financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by continued losses in the clinics and cradles segment, and exposure to risks inherent in its greenfield projects.

Analytical Approach

For arriving at the ratings, CRISIL has combined the business and financial risk profiles of AHEL and its subsidiaries (fully consolidated), and joint ventures (JVs; proportionately consolidated), because of their strong operational and financial linkages. The entities are together referred to herein as AHEL.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
* Established and leading market position in the healthcare segment:
AHEL is currently the market leader in the Indian private healthcare segment. It operates the largest chain of hospitals in India with 71 hospitals (43 owned, with capacity of 8333 beds; 7 managed with 1234 beds; 11 day-care/short-surgery centres with 229 beds; and 10 cradles with 311 beds) as on June 30, 2017. It has presence predominantly in Chennai and Hyderabad clusters, and has expanded to regions such as Mumbai and tier-2 and 3 towns. Its market leadership is driven by strong brand equity and superior quality of service due to strong relationships with highly qualified consultants. CRISIL believes AHEL, due to its market leadership, is well-positioned to capitalise on the healthy growth in the Indian healthcare market.

* Healthy operating profitability; expected to improve over the medium term:
Over the past 3 years, operating profitability has been supported by hospitals and pharmacy segments. The pharmacy segment's profitability improved to 4.3% in fiscal 2017 from 3.3% in fiscal 2015 aided by store addition, increase in revenue per store, and cost rationalisation, and is expected to improve over the medium term. The company is nearing the end of large capital expenditure (capex), with 1450 beds commissioned in the past three years. It plans to add 265 beds (owned, subsidiaries, and JVs) over the three fiscals through 2020. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBIDTA) was stagnant at Rs 725-800 crore in the past three fiscals, and was impacted by temporary slow-down in Chennai cluster and stent price control in 2017. EBIDTA is expected to be around Rs 800 crore in fiscal 2018, but is expected to increase to Rs 900-1000 crore by fiscal 2019, driven by increased profitability in new hospitals, and reduced loss in the clinics segment.

Weaknesses
* Modest financial risk profile:
Financial risk profile is constrained by significant increase in debt and stagnation in EBIDTA over the past three fiscals. Delay in rights issue and sizeable capex led to increase in debt to more than Rs 3100 crore as on March 31, 2017, from Rs 2000 crore as on March 31, 2015. As a result, ratio of debt to EBIDTA increased to over 3.5 times in fiscal 2017 from around 2.5 times in fiscal 2015. However, the ratio is expected to improve to about 3 times by March 2018, primarily due to reduction in debt through infusion of equity, and to around 2.5 times by March 2019 with improvement in EBIDTA. Despite increase in debt, gearing remained low at 0.93 time as on March 31, 2017. Timing and quantum of equity infusion over the medium term will be a rating sensitive factor.

* Continued operating loss in the cradles and clinics business
Apollo Health and Lifestyle Ltd (AHLL), which operates clinics, diagnostic centres, short-stay surgery, and boutique birthing centers under the Apollo brand, has had operating losses in the past few fiscals, which will continue in fiscal 2018. While existing centres are expected to break even at the operating level over the medium term, the new centres are expected to post losses due to early stage of operations. However, the risk is mitigated by equity infusion of Rs 450 crore by International Finance Corporation (IFC) in December 2016, which will fund losses and limit debt. The extent of reduction in losses over the medium term will be a key monitorable.

* Project risk embedded in greenfield projects
AHEL's greenfield bed addition of 265 beds at an estimated cost of Rs 840 crore over the medium term constitutes only 3% of its current capacity. Of this, Rs 340 crore was spent till June 2017. However, profitability of recently commissioned facilities (including Navi Mumbai) as well as successful ramp-up of operations at facilities to be commissioned in the medium term remain key monitorables.

The management has the ability to complete projects on time without significant cost overrun, and make these profitable within a short span of time. Nevertheless, the company is susceptible to execution and market risks inherent in Greenfield projects and to the risk of losses in the initial phase.
Outlook: Stable

CRISIL believes AHEL will maintain its healthy revenue growth while increasing its capacity and maintaining steady operating profitability. Healthy cash accrual and prudent funding of capex will result in conservative gearing and comfortable debt protection metrics.

Upside scenario
* Significantly higher-than-expected profitability in greenfield projects, and sizeable growth in revenue and profitability

Downside scenario
* Significant decline in operating profitability, adversely impacting debt-to-EBITDA ratio
* Larger-than-expected debt-funded capex or investments in group companies
* Delay in reduction of debt significantly beyond fiscal 2018 resulting in delay in correction of debt-to-EBITDA ratio.

About the Company

AHEL started operations in 1983 with Apollo Chennai, the first Indian corporate hospital. The company had 71 hospitals, with total capacity of 10,107 beds as on June 30, 2017. Of these, 43 hospitals are owned including subsidiaries, JVs, and associates, with 8333 beds; 7 hospitals with 1234 beds are managed or franchised. It also has 11 day-care/short surgical stay centres with 229 beds, and 10 cradles with 311 beds. Besides its hospital-based pharmacies, AHEL runs pharmacy operations through a retail pharmacy chain of 2643, stores, which accounted for 39% of revenue in fiscal 2017 and the first quarter of fiscal 2018. As on June 30, 2017, Dr P C Reddy, AHEL's promoter, and his family members collectively owned 34.38% of the company's equity shares; Oppenheimer Developing Markets Fund owned 8.26%; Malaysian sovereign fund Khazanah Nasional Bhd (through Integrated Mauritius Healthcare Holdings Ltd) owned 10.85%; and public and foreign institutional investors owned the remainder.

Key Financial Indicators
Particulars Unit 2017 2016
Revenue Rs Cr. 7599 6260
Profit after tax Rs Cr. 147 235
PAT margin % 1.93 3.78
Adjusted debt/adjusted networth Times 0.93 0.89
Interest coverage Times 3.1 4.2

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of instrument Date of allotment Coupon rate (%) Maturity date Issue size (Rs crore) Rating assigned with outlook
INE437A07104 Debentures 22-Aug-2014 * 22-Aug-2028 200 CRISIL AA/Stable
INE437A07062 Debentures 28-Dec-2010 10.3 28-Dec-2020 100 CRISIL AA/Stable
INE437A07070 Debentures 21-Mar-2011 10.3 21-Mar-2021 100 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Debentures# NA NA NA 319 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Fixed deposits NA NA NA 0 FAA+/Stable
NA Cash credit NA NA NA 74.27 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Bills payable NA NA NA 105.92 CRISIL A1+
NA Short-term loan NA NA NA 60 CRISIL A1+
NA Proposed long-term bank loan facility NA NA NA 344.81 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA June-2018 65 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA Mar-2026 200 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA July-2028 300 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA July-2028 300 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA Oct-2027 150 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA Jan-2032 100 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA Jan-2031 350 CRISIL AA/Stable
NA Rupee term loan NA NA Jan-2030 350 CRISIL AA/Stable
* Variable interest rate-10.2% per annum for first 5 years, 10.25% per annum for next 5 years, and 10.3% per annum for remaining 4 years
#Yet to be placed
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2017 (History) 2016  2015  2014  Start of 2014
Instrument Type Quantum Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fixed Deposits  FD  FAA+/Stable    No Rating Change    No Rating Change    No Rating Change    No Rating Change  FAA+/Stable 
Non Convertible Debentures  LT  719  CRISIL AA/Stable    No Rating Change    No Rating Change    No Rating Change    No Rating Change  CRISIL AA/Stable 
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  2400  CRISIL AA/Stable/ CRISIL A1+    No Rating Change  10-06-16  CRISIL AA/Stable/ CRISIL A1+    No Rating Change    No Rating Change  CRISIL AA/Stable 
Table reflects instances where rating is changed or freshly assigned. 'No Rating Change' implies that there was no rating change under the release.
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Bills Payable 105.92 CRISIL A1+ Bills Payable 105.92 CRISIL A1+
Cash Credit 74.27 CRISIL AA/Stable Cash Credit 74.27 CRISIL AA/Stable
Proposed Long Term Bank Loan Facility 344.81 CRISIL AA/Stable Proposed Long Term Bank Loan Facility 344.81 CRISIL AA/Stable
Rupee Term Loan 1815 CRISIL AA/Stable Rupee Term Loan 1815 CRISIL AA/Stable
Short Term Loan 60 CRISIL A1+ Short Term Loan 60 CRISIL A1+
Total 2400 -- Total 2400 --
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
CRISILs Criteria for Consolidation
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt

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