Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Expectation of strong support from GoI
The ratings continue to factor in expectation of strong government support on an ongoing basis and during distress. This is because GoI is a majority shareholder in public sector banks (PSBs) and the guardian of India's financial system. Stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to the government given its criticality to the economy, strong public perception of sovereign backing for PSBs and severe implications of any PSB failure in terms of political fallout, systemic stability and investor confidence. The majority ownership creates a moral obligation on GoI to support PSBs, including Canara Bank. Any material change in shareholding by GoI and/or privatisation of the bank in line with Finance Minister’s announcement in the recent budget for privatisation of two PSBs will be a key rating sensitivity factor.
As a part of the Indradhanush framework, the government had pledged to infuse at least Rs 70,000 crore in PSBs over fiscals 2015-2019, of which Rs 25,000 crore each was infused in fiscals 2016 and 2017. Furthermore, in October 2017, the government had outlined a recapitalisation package of Rs 2.11 lakh crore over fiscals 2018 and 2019; Canara Bank and eSyndicate Bank combined received Rs 7,704 crore in fiscal 2018 and Rs 3,963 crore in fiscal 2019 under this package. Also, GoI allocated Rs 70,000 crore in fiscal 2020, of which Rs 6,571 crore was received. Thus, over the past three fiscals, GoI infused around Rs 18,238 crore into the combined entity.
The bank had networth of Rs 56,742 crore as on December 31, 2020, also supported by Rs 2,000 crore equity raised by the bank via qualified institutional placement during the last quarter. Common equity tier (CET) 1, Tier-I capital adequacy ratio (CAR) and overall CAR stood at 8.77%, 10.45% and 13.69%, respectively, on the said date (8.47%, 9.63%, 13.03%, respectively, as on March 31, 2020).
Canara Bank is one of India's larger PSBs, with total advances and deposits of Rs 6.7 lakh crore and Rs 9.7 lakh crore, respectively, as on December 31, 2020. With merger of eSyndicate Bank, the market position of the bank has further strengthened. The bank had a market share of more than 6% in advances and deposits as on December 31, 2020. It has a pan-India branch presence, with around 10,491 domestic branches and 12,973 automated teller machines (ATMs) across the country as on December 31, 2020. It also has overseas branches at five locations. Revenue is diversified across businesses, products and geographies, augmenting the strong overall market position. The bank has a strong franchise in the large and mid-size corporate banking segments.
Weakness:
- Modest, albeit improving, asset quality and earnings profile
The bank’s asset quality, with reported and pro-forma gross NPAs of 7.46% and 8.95%, respectively, as on December 31, 2020 (9.39% as on March 31, 2020) remains modest, albeit with an improving trend. Till fiscal 2020, the slippages for the bank were high, at Rs 24,107 crore during fiscal 2020 and Rs 27,072 crore during fiscal 2019. The slippages were primarily from the bank’s large corporate exposure to vulnerable sectors, such as iron and steel, infrastructure and construction and financial sector companies. Its micro and small enterprises exposure has also experienced elevated levels of stress. The slippages have been much lower for nine months ended December 31, 2020, at Rs 2,598 crore; however, this was also supported by the Supreme Court stay on NPA recognition. The traction in the slippages, especially in current challenging macro environment, will continue to be monitored. Nevertheless, with the bank’s focus on recoveries, also supported by recoveries through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code route, gross NPAs have seen an improving trend. Gross NPAs from the corporate segment stood at around 10.7%, followed by micro, small and medium enterprises (8.2%), agriculture (5.2%) and retail (1.4%) as on December 31, 2020.
While the bank’s earnings profile has been impacted over the last few years primarily because of high credit costs, the same has also seen an improvement in current fiscal. The bank reported PAT of Rs 1,547 crore during the nine months ended December 31, 2020, as compared to substantial losses over last couple of years (loss of Rs 5839 crore reported for fiscal 2020). Nevertheless, the earning profile remain modest, constrained by the lower proportion of current account savings account deposits impacting net interest margin and the pre-provisioning operating profit of the bank. Further, the provisioning coverage ratio (excluding technical write-offs) while increased substantially to around 66% as on December 31, 2020, from 44% as on March 31, 2019, remains moderate.
Nevertheless, CRISIL Ratings will continue to monitor the traction in asset quality and its consequent impact on profitability, given the continued weak macro environment.