Rating Rationale
June 26, 2024 | Mumbai
Continuum Trinethra Renewables Private Limited
Rating placed on 'Watch Developing'
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities RatedRs.979.89 Crore
Long Term RatingCRISIL A/Watch Developing (Placed on 'Rating Watch with Developing Implications')
Short Term RatingCRISIL A1/Watch Developing (Placed on 'Rating Watch with Developing Implications')
Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to Annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has placed its ratings on the bank facilities of Continuum Trinethra Renewables Private Limited (CTRPL) on 'Rating Watch with Developing Implications'. CTRPL is a wholly owned subsidiary of Continuum Green Energy (India) Pvt Ltd (CGEIPL; ‘CRISIL A-/Stable’).

 

The rating action follows the recent announcement that the management of the Continuum group has finalised fund raising in US dollars equivalent to up to Rs 5,520 crore in the form of senior secured green bonds to refinance the debt of eight group entities and will form a new restricted group (RG) comprising the eight entities. The bonds will have a tenure of nine years.

 

The new RG will include Kutch Windfarm Development Pvt Ltd (KWDPL), CTRPL, Bothe Windfarm Development Pvt Ltd (BWDPL), DJ Energy Pvt Ltd (DJEPL), Uttar Urja Projects Pvt Ltd (UUPPL), Watsun Infrabuild Pvt Ltd (WIPL), Trinethra Wind and Hydro Power Pvt Ltd (TWHPPL) and Renewables Trinethra Pvt Ltd (RTPL). CRISIL Ratings understands that the fund raising for the new RG is likely to include cross guarantee by each co-issuer towards other co-issuers along with cash pooling mechanism and covenants related to debt service reserve account (DSRA) requirement and mandatory cash sweep (MCS).

 

However, CRISIL Ratings understands that the management is still finalising the agreements related to the said features including cross guarantee and cash pooling mechanism. Clarity related to the functioning of the new RG as well as the mentioned key terms, including cash pooling and support mechanism between the said entities, will be essential to assess the impact of the same on the ratings and will help in resolving the rating watch.

 

CTRPL has strong revenue visibility and low offtake risk as the entire project capacity has been tied up with third-party commercial and industrial (C&I) customers through power purchase agreements (PPAs) with average tenure of around 13 years. The ratings further factor in operational diversity of the asset being hybrid in nature (solar and wind capacities) along with low counterparty credit risk, supported by the strong credit risk profile of the diversified third-party customer mix. These strengths are partially offset by limited operational track record, downward fluctuation (if any) in the tariff structure with movement in regulatory charges, and exposure to risks inherent in operating solar and wind-energy assets.

Analytical Approach

CRISIL Ratings has assessed the credit risk profile of CTRPL at a standalone level. Furthermore, optionally convertible debentures (OCDs; part of promoters’ contribution) amounting to around Rs 305 crore as on March 31, 2023, issued to CGEIPL have been treated as neither debt nor equity.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Healthy revenue visibility, low offtake and counterparty credit risks

Diversity in terms of generation profile of the asset (hybrid wind and solar) is likely to result in continuation of power generation since underperformance in one generation mode is likely to be offset by overperformance in the other. Furthermore, CTRPL has signed PPAs with average tenure of 13 years for its entire capacity with 33 third-party C&I customers across multiple sectors, providing adequate revenue visibility. However, average lock-in tenure of the PPAs is moderately low at 4.5 years, thereby exposing the asset to PPA renegotiation risk. Nonetheless, the rating draws comfort from the tariffs allowing for a healthy discount of around Re 1 per unit for the buyers, compared with grid tariffs, resulting in low offtake risk for the project.

 

The counterparties largely have healthy credit risk profiles, resulting in low counterparty risk. Furthermore, the payment cycle has been around a month for the commissioned capacity over the past five months. Continuation of timely receipt of payments from the counterparties will remain a key monitorable.

 

  • Healthy debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) over the loan tenure at P90 generation

The company has tied up capacity at capacity-weighted net tariff average of Rs 4.55 per unit. Coupled with the long tenure of the debt (15 years), this will lead to comfortable average DSCR at P90 levels over the loan tenure. Furthermore, project cash flow and receivables are clearly ring fenced in a trust and retention account along with a cash sweep option to the lender (50% of surplus) as per the financing agreement.

 

Weaknesses:

  • Limited track record of operations

The company has commissioned the entire project capacity in a phased manner from May 2022 to June 2023 with majority of the capacity commissioned in April 2023. Consequently, the company has limited weighted average track record of around six months (on total project capacity – from June 9, 2023 till date). Hence, the ability to achieve the desired plant load factor (PLF) in the near to medium term remains a key monitorable.

 

  • Exposure to regulatory changes in the tariff structure and wind policy

The PPAs with third-party customers are tied up on a gross tariff basis with open access charges, cross-subsidy surcharge and additional charges borne by the special purpose vehicles (SPVs). Some of the PPAs provide for 50% sharing of increase or decrease in industrial tariffs and various regulatory charges with customers. As a result, the ability of the company to pass on the quantum of these regulatory charges to customers, as per the terms of the PPA, remains a monitorable from a credit perspective.

 

  • Susceptibility to inherent risks associated with solar and wind power generation

Solar power generation depends on irradiation levels around the plant's location. Also, changes in the average temperature or performance of solar modules may affect the company's power generation and lead to higher-than-expected degradation in solar panels. Given that cash flow of a solar power project is highly sensitive to variation in PLF, these factors could impair the debt servicing capability of solar projects. Furthermore, wind power generation remains highly vulnerable to seasonality and variance in wind intensity. Given that cash flow is highly sensitive to PLF in wind assets, these risks could severely impair debt servicing and free cash flow. CRISIL Ratings will continue to monitor PLF levels as a key rating sensitivity factor.

Liquidity: Strong

CTRPL’s liquidity will be driven by expected cash accrual of Rs 190-200 crore per annum in fiscals 2024 and 2025, and cash and cash equivalent of Rs 53.8 crore as on November 3, 2023. Against this, the company has external debt obligation of around Rs 90 crore in fiscal 2024 and around Rs 154 crore in fiscal 2025 and minimal capital expenditure (capex) plans. Currently, fund-based working capital limits of Rs 15 crore are unutilised. Debt service reserve account (DSRA) equivalent to one quarter of debt obligation is expected to be build up. CRISIL Ratings understands that CTRPL has created partial DSRA of Rs 30 crore (from cash balance of Rs 53.8 crore) as on November 30, 2023, and remaining DSRA is to be created from project cash flow within the  next twelve months. CRISIL Ratings expects internal accrual, cash and cash equivalent, and expected DSRA to be sufficient to meet the debt obligation as well as any incremental working capital requirement.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward factors

  • Improvement in power generation with asset performing significantly above P-90 levels on sustained basis
  • Sustenance of timely payments from buyers resulting in faster-than-expected debt reduction along with timely creation of complete DSRA

 

Downward factors

  • Sustained power generation at significantly lower-than-P-90 levels
  • Significant delay in receiving payments from the counterparties, resulting in liquidity stress and material delay in complete creation of the DSRA balance

About the Company

Incorporated in 2020, CTRPL is a 100% subsidiary of CGEIPL. The company operates a wind-solar hybrid power asset of 199.9 megawatt – alternate current (MWAC) / 239.9 megawatt peak (MWp [99.9 MW wind and 100 MWAC / 140 MWp solar project]) in Morbi / Rajkot, Gujarat. The project was fully commissioned in June 2023. It supplies power to third-party C&I customers.

Key Financial Indicators – CTRPL – CRISIL Ratings-adjusted numbers

Particulars

Unit

2023

2022

Revenue

Rs crore

NM

NM

Profit after tax (PAT)

Rs crore

NM

NM

PAT margin

%

NM

NM

Adjusted debt/adjusted networth

Times

NM

NM

Interest coverage

Times

NM

NM

NM: not meaningful 

Though the company was incorporated on July 17, 2020, the entire capacity was commissioned in June 2023.

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN

Name of instrument

Date of allotment

Coupon rate (%)

Maturity date

Issue size

(Rs crore)

Complexity level

Rating assigned with outlook

NA

Term Loan

NA

NA

May-2039

948.89

NA

CRISIL A/Watch Developing

NA

Cash Credit

NA

NA

NA

15

NA

CRISIL A/Watch Developing

NA

Standby Letter of Credit

NA

NA

NA

16

NA

CRISIL A1/Watch Developing

 

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2024 (History) 2023  2022  2021  Start of 2021
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund Based Facilities LT 963.89 CRISIL A/Watch Developing   -- 13-12-23 CRISIL A/Stable   --   -- --
Non-Fund Based Facilities ST 16.0 CRISIL A1/Watch Developing   -- 13-12-23 CRISIL A1   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of Bank Lenders & Facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Name of Lender Rating
Cash Credit 15 HDFC Bank Limited CRISIL A/Watch Developing
Standby Letter of Credit 16 HDFC Bank Limited CRISIL A1/Watch Developing
Term Loan 948.89 Power Finance Corporation Limited CRISIL A/Watch Developing
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
The Rating Process
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Criteria for rating corporate sector hybrid instruments
Criteria for rating solar power projects
Criteria for rating wind power projects
Understanding CRISILs Ratings and Rating Scales
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt

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