Strengths * Strategic importance to, and expectation of support from ICICI Bank ICICI Pru Life has a strong linkage with ICICI Bank which is reflected in a shared brand name and majority ownership. ICICI Bank's presence in the life insurance sector is through ICICI Pru Life, which is, therefore, one of the critical subsidiaries for ICICI Bank. Established brand name and market reputation of ICICI Bank has enabled the company to build its own brand equity, which assists in selling to customers of all segments. ICICI Bank and ICICI Pru Life have a common member at board level. Additionally, two members on the board of ICICI Pru Life are from ICICI Bank's senior management team. In addition, ICICI Bank also acts as a corporate agent for ICICI Pru Life, which allows ICICI Pru Life to access ICICI Bank's vast network of bank branches and customers for selling its insurance products. ICICI Pru Life being a listed entity, has ability to source capital from external investors and has the financial flexibility to raise capital whenever necessary. Further, ICICI Bank is committed to and capable of, infusing capital. As on date, ICICI Pru Life doesn't have any debt obligation on its balance sheet. * Established market position within life insurance industry ICICI Pru Life is expected to maintain its market position as one of the top players within life insurance industry. ICICI Pru Life has maintained its market position and consistently improved its market share in each fiscal year. ICICI Pru Life's private market share in terms of new business premiums stood at 15.3% during fiscal 2020 as against 14.1% during fiscal 2019. In terms of overall premiums (including renewal premium) it stood at around 5.9% as on March 31, 2020 (around 6.1% as on March 31, 2019). Further, within private insurers, it continued to maintain healthy market share of around 17.3% during fiscal 2020 (18.1% during fiscal 2019). The company has been in operation since 2001 and has a presence across all the states in the country. ICICI Pru Life has been able to diversify its sourcing channels over the years which has led to strong business growth. Further, strong brand image and direct access to large customer base of ICICI Bank, provides critical support to the business growth of ICICI Pru Life. Furthermore, low insurance penetration and other supportive macro factors are expected to drive growth. With the intent of maintaining customer centric, balanced and profitable suite, the management is focused to maintain a balanced portfolio mix with focus on sourcing through multiple channels. This is reflected in the product mix for Q1 FY2021, with ULIPs accounting for 44%, conventional products for 50% and group for 6% of annual premium equivalent (APE). The company also continued its focus on protection business and non-linked savings, wherein its contribution to APE increased to 50% in Q1- FY2021. In terms of total new business premium received, the protection segment reported CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 67.3% over past 4 years ending fiscal 2020. * Well diversified distribution channels ICICI Pru Life offers its customers access to its products and services through an extensive muti channel sales network across India that includes bancassuarance, agency and direct channels (online, etc). ICICI Pru Life has diverse mix of sourcing channels with, the proportion of business from bancassurance channel has been the highest. For bancassuarance, the company enjoys direct tie-up with parent i.e. ICICI Bank. Around 85% of the bancassuarance business comes from ICICI Bank which predominantly sells protection and ULIP policies. Apart from ICICI Bank, the company has tie-up with 14 other banks including Standard Chartered Bank, IDFC Bank and few other banks. Nevertheless, during last 1-2 years, the company has been transitioning and increasing its focus towards non-linked or traditional segments. As a result, on incremental basis, the proportion of business generated from bancassurance channel has witnessed declining trajectory. For distribution of non-linked or traditional products, the company is expected to focus on generating more business through its non-bancassurance channels. As on June 30, 2020, ICICI Pru Life's distribution mix, in terms of APE, was bancassurance accounting for 40%, 25% by agency, 12% by direct, 9% by partnership distribution and 15% by group. During recent period, the premiums generated from bancassurance channel has declined mainly on account of deterioration in ULIP heavy sale due to unfavorable market conditions. ICICI Pru Life, nevertheless, is expected to focus on increasing its non-linked business which will be driven mainly through agency and direct channels. * Healthy profitability and persistency metrics In terms of profitability, ICICI Pru Life has been generating healthy accruals which has also supported its capital position. The return on equity has consistently been above 15% during last 5 fiscals. Additionally, the value of new business (VNB) margin has also remained healthy at 22% during fiscal 2020 improving steadily over the years from 17% during fiscal 2018. In absolute terms, the VNB has improved to around Rs 1,605 crore during fiscal 2020 from Rs 412 crore in fiscal 2016 (representing CAGR growth of around 41%). Additionally, the company has also shown healthy growth in its Embedded Value to Rs 23,030 crore as on March 31, 2020 as against Rs 21,623 crore as on March 31, 2019. ICICI Pru Life has maintained its persistency ratios across buckets during last 4-5 years. During fiscal 2020, 13th and 49th month persistency ratios on overall premium basis stood at 86.8% and 67.3% respectively (86.2% and 65.0% during fiscal 2019). During Q1 fiscal 2021, the persistency ratios for first 2 months stood at 84.1% (13th month) and 66.2% (49th month) based on retail (including single premium). Persistency has been resilient with the ratios remaining stable across even though the equity markets continued to be volatile during first 2 months of fiscal 2021. Improvement in persistency primarily driven by focus on better quality of business and leveraging technological capabilities to provide a superior customer experience. The healthy persistency also reflects the company's ability to hold on to its policyholders for longer duration. * Adequate capital position ICICI Pru Life maintains adequate capital position which is reflected in healthy solvency margin of over 190% maintained for last 10 years. The absolute net worth was Rs 7,829 crore as on June 30, 2020 and Rs 7,541 crore as on March 31, 2020 (Rs 6,876 crore as on March 31, 2019). While CRISIL expects capital support from ICICI Bank to be forthcoming if required; ICICI Pru Life has been maintaining its capital position through internal accruals, not necessitating any such support. Although, there has been no incremental capital infusion during last eleven years, ICICI Pru Life has maintained solvency margin of above 190%. ICICI Pru Life reported embedded value of Rs 23,030 crore as on March 31, 2020. The ratio of embedded value to networth stood at close to 3 times as on March 31, 2020 which was in line with its peers. The embedded value can be seen as a representation of actual capital position since it includes the future profits that company is expected to receive from the business it has underwritten till valuation date. The steady increase in internal accruals enables the company to maintain capital position while achieving healthy business growth. Weaknesses * High proportion of ULIP business exposes towards susceptibility in market movements ULIP remains dominant business segment as compared to participating and non-participating products. As on June 30, 2020, overall premium share of ULIP product stood at 70%. While in terms of new business premiums, the share of ULIP stood at 50% as on same date. This makes the company prone to cyclicality of the stock markets, as retail investors generally purchase ULIPs during stock market booms and vice-versa. This could impact new business premiums as well as margins. Additionally, the company has a low share of non-participating business, which is a high-margin segment. However, the share of ULIP in total APE has declined to 43.6% in Q1 fiscal 2021 as compared to 64.7% in FY 20 due to subdued market performance. Furthermore, CRISIL notes that management has incrementally over the past one and a half year have shifted their focus towards creating balance mix between linked and non-linked segments in order to sustain the business growth and to reduce their dependency on ULIP and also improve bottom line profitability. Accordingly, the management is expected to focus more on mass customer segment along with the affluent segment. * Ability to grow in non-linked segment During fiscal 2020, proportion of non-linked products on new business premiums improved to 45% as compared to 21% in FY 2016-17 whereas on total APE basis, non-linked segment improved to 32% of total APE in fiscal 2020 as compared to 14% in fiscal 2017. This has supported healthy expansion in new business margins from 10% in FY 2017 to 22% in FY 2020. The management expects the ULIP business to revive, while the mix of non-linked segment to improve further. However, as historically ICICI Pru Life has been market leader in ULIPs, their ability to grow in non-linked segment on sustained basis will be a monitorable. * Exposure to inherent competition in the insurance business, and associated challenges Intense competition from other private life insurers can make it challenging for ICICI Pru Life to maintain its profitability. Moreover, with the dominant position of the Life Insurance Corporation of India in the domestic market, private players need to continuously innovate to attract customers, and also manage the returns expectation of policy holders. Further, with application of new tax regime, certain benefits that policyholder or policy buyers had (under section 80c of Income Tax Act) are no longer available. Therefore, its impact on the overall demand for life insurance products needs to monitored over the medium term. Hence, the company's ability to continue to gain on new business, generate profit and manage the investment portfolio to earn adequate returns, will determine its profitability and market position over the longer horizon. |