Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Strong capitalisation position supported by high pedigree of investor base
Incred is well-capitalised with networth of Rs 2,484 crore and a comfortable gearing of 1.6 times as on March 31, 2023. This marks a significant improvement from Rs 595 crore of networth as on March 31, 2019. The company commenced its operations with a networth of around Rs 500 crore, mainly contributed by the founder’s company – Bee Finance Ltd (Mauritius). Incred initially raised optionally convertible debentures (OCDs) in fiscal 2017, and converted them to equity in fiscal 2019 (April 2018) amounting to the tune of Rs 116 crore from Investcorp (IDFC Private Equity) and Paragon Partners. Furthermore, during April and May 2019, Incred raised compulsorily convertible preference shares (CCPS) of Rs 427 crore from institutional investors such as FMO (the Netherlands Development Finance Company), OAKS Asset Management (Formerly known as Alpha Capital), Moore Strategic Ventures, and Elevar Equity. Most recently, the company’s networth increased from Rs 1,112 crore on March 31, 2022, to Rs 2,300 crore as of September 30, 2022 – benefitting from the implementation of the scheme of corporate reorganization and internal accretions. CRISIL Ratings believes Incred’s capital position will remain comfortable with regards to its scale and nature of operations, supported by its demonstrated ability to raise capital from existing as well as new investors.
- Experienced promoters and senior management team
Incred was promoted in 2016, by Mr Bhupinder Singh, Whole Time Director and Chief Executive Officer. Having been associated with Deutsche Bank with his last stint as head of the Corporate Finance division and the co-head of the Fixed Income, Equities and Investment Banking divisions for the Asia Pacific region, Mr Singh has a professional experience of over two decades. Over its operating history, the company’s senior management team has gained strength, and now comprises renowned professionals from various industry sections.
Mr Vivek Bansal, Incred’s Chief Financial Officer (CFO), has experience of two decades, which include leadership stints in Fidelity Investments (London) and Standard Chartered (Mumbai). Prior to Incred, Mr Bansal served as deputy CFO of YES Bank and Group Head of Finance. Mr Ashwin Sekar, who is the Chief Product and Technology Officer, had been associated with companies such as Gain Credit for over 13 years. The business side is headed by Mr. Saurabh Jhalaria who has almost 20 years of work experience and was earlier Managing Director – Singapore operations at Deutsche Bank.
Mr Prithvi Chandrasekhar (Head of Risk Analytics and PL business), has held various positions across several companies, including Capital One and McKinsey over a professional stint of over 25 years.
Mr. Krishna Bahety (Chief Risk Officer) has over 22 years of experience in credit risk management, underwriting, process control, portfolio management and risk analysis across multiple product verticals. Prior to Incred he was with Udaan as Head of Policy responsible for various policy development and implementation. This team of senior executives reports to a board comprising veterans from the financial services industry. These include independent directors, nominee directors from investor bodies and a few representatives from the senior management team of Incred.
- Diversified loan portfolio
InCred had a diversified loan portfolio of Rs 6,062 crore as on March 31, 2023, which marks an annual growth of 58%. The growth during the period was driven by growing retail personal loan and education loan portfolio. As on March 31, 2023, the AUM mix consisted of personal loans (42%, including co-lending portfolio), student loans (17%), lending to NBFCs (10%), anchor & escrow backed business lines (21%) and secured school financing & LAP (8%). Apart from these, erstwhile KKR India’s wholesale portfolio also constituted 2% of the AUM. This book is spread across 2 group accounts and is expected to run down in the near to medium term.
In the initial phase of erstwhile Incred Financial Services Ltd, growth in the loan portfolio was driven by higher focus on wholesale segments such as supply chain financing and lending to financial institutions and escrow-backed lending which, which cumulatively formed 76% of the total loan book as on June 30, 2017. These segments were followed by unsecured business loans, which formed another 18% of the loan portfolio with slightly higher degree of granularity. However, eventual growth corresponded with diversification across asset segments with more focus on retail loans. Thereafter, the company ventured into segments such as personal loans and two-wheeler loans, and also tapped the niche segment of education loans via student loans and secured school funding. Over time, concentration around wholesale segments has reduced and the loan book has diversified across retail segments. Presently, 98% of AUM is composed of retail secured and unsecured loans.
Also, given low correlation between these segments, CRISIL Ratings believes that the diversified loan portfolio supports the overall business profile, especially in case of stress in any one segment.
Weaknesses:
- Moderate earnings profile, albeit improving
Owing to its nascent scale of operations, operating expenses for Incred, though correcting, have remained high attributed to support costs, employee and technology-linked expenses. Furthermore, on-boarding of senior management to lead respective asset segments has also contributed to the high employee expenses. Over the past five fiscal years, operating expenses for Incred has remained elevated in the range of 5-6% (adjusting for one-time business expenses).
For fiscal 2022, the company reported an annualized return on managed assets (RoMA) of 1.1% corresponding to a net profit of Rs 36 crore. After adjusting for non-cash ESOP expenses, demerger related legal expenses incurred and net charge on P&L due to sale of two-wheeler portfolio, the annualized RoMA for the period was about 1.6%. Thereafter, for fiscal 2023, overall profitability has improved gradually with Incred reporting a net income of Rs 121 crore supported by rise in share of higher yielding loan portfolio and minimal credit costs during the period, thus translating into a RoMA of 2.2% for fiscal 2023.
Given the provisioning policy, coupled with sustained focus on tightening costs and operating expenses, CRISIL Ratings expects Incred’s profitability to sustain at levels higher than that seen in the past in normal course of business. However, Incred’s ability to scale up the portfolio, enhance recoveries and improve profitability while keeping credit costs low, will be a key rating sensitivity factor.
- Asset quality remains a monitorable
Given the relatively short track record of operations and low, though increasing, seasoning in the loan portfolio, asset quality of the book remains untested. As on March 31, 2023, gross NPA (GNPA) of the overall loan portfolio of Incred remained comfortable while improving gradually to 2.1%, as compared to 2.8% during last fiscal. The NPA metrics were impacted during the pandemic albeit improving collections have supported the improvement in the asset quality metrics.
In terms of collections, when calculated after giving benefit of over-dues, collection efficiency of the overall book was around 98%. Going forward, the company’s ability to scale up operations, while maintaining asset quality and profitability at adequate levels amidst business challenges, will be key rating sensitivity factors.
- Modest scale of operations and market position with limited seasoning
As on March 31, 2023, Incred’s AUM stood at Rs 6,062 crore, as compared to Rs 3844 crore as on March 31, 2022, registering a growth of 58% over the twelve-month period. However, the AUM is spread across seven asset classes. While this gives Incred the benefit of diversity, scale of operations and market position remains moderate within each asset class. As the portfolio continues to gain vintage, the company’s ability to profitably scale the portfolio across diverse segments remains to be demonstrated.