Rating Rationale
August 27, 2019 | Mumbai
Kalyani Forge Limited
Rating outlook revised to 'Stable'; ratings reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.100 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL BBB+/Stable (Outlook revised from 'Positive' and rating reaffirmed)
Short Term Rating CRISIL A2 (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has revised its rating outlook on the long-term bank facilities of Kalyani Forge Limited (KFL) to 'Stable' from 'Positive', while reaffirming the rating at 'CRISIL BBB+/Stable'. The rating on the short-term facilities has been reaffirmed at 'CRISIL A2'.
 
The outlook revision reflects expected deterioration in the business risk profile, as against CRISIL's earlier expectation of improvement, due to a decline in revenue and profitability following sluggish demand from the automotive (auto) industry. Turnover and operating profit in the first quarter of fiscal 2020 declined by 4% and 16%, respectively, against the first quarter of fiscal 2019. Nevertheless, cash accrual of Rs 14-18 crore with an expected stable working capital cycle should keep the gearing below 0.4 time, despite moderate capital expenditure (capex) of Rs 6-10 crore during the fiscal.
 
The ratings continue to reflect an established market position in the domestic forging and machining industry, and a healthy financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by large working capital requirement, and susceptibility to cyclicality in the auto sector, volatility in raw material prices and intense competition.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
* Established market position: A presence of around four decades in the domestic forging and machining industry has enabled the promoters to develop a healthy relationship with reputed original equipment manufacturers in the auto segment.
 
* Healthy financial risk profile: The gearing was low at 0.42 time as on March 31, 2019, supported by large networth of Rs 111.4 crore and controlled working capital debt despite recent debt-funded capex. Debt protection metrics were comfortable, with interest coverage ratio of 3.85 times and net cash accrual to adjusted debt ratio of 0.43 time in fiscal 2019.
 
Weaknesses:
* Susceptibility to cyclicality in the auto sector, volatility in raw material prices, and intense competition: Profitability remains susceptible to volatile raw material prices, with any increase being passed on to customers with some time lag. Furthermore, most of the revenue (around 70%) comes from the auto sector, which is cyclical, as seen in the first quarter of fiscal 2020 where revenue declined. Moreover, there is intense competition from auto ancillary manufacturers, which limits bargaining power with customers.
 
* Large working capital requirement: Gross current assets were high at 175 days, driven by receivables of 97 days and inventory of 68 days, as on March 31, 2019.
 
* Low return on capital employed (RoCE): The RoCE was low at around 3 to 8 per cent over past four fiscal ending March 2019, and should reduce further due to an expected decline in revenue and profitability.
 
Liquidity: Adequate
Liquidity should remain adequate. Net cash accrual was healthy at Rs 20.4 crore, comfortably covering term debt obligation of around Rs 7 crore, in fiscal 2019. Cash accrual is expected at Rs 14-18 crore, against debt obligation of Rs 5-7.5 crore, per fiscal over the medium term. Bank limit utilisation averaged at 54% during the 12 months through July 2019. Capex for fiscal 2020 is to be funded through internal cash accrual.
Outlook: Stable

CRISIL believes KFL will continue to benefit from its established position in the forging and machining industry.
 
Rating sensitivity factor
Upward factors:
* Sustained revenue growth of 15-20% per fiscal with an improved operating margin, over the medium term
* Maintenance of the working capital cycle and capital structure

Downward factors:
* Decline in revenue by over 15% per fiscal or in the operating margin to below 8.5%
* Increase in working capital requirement, larger-than-expected, debt-funded capex or acquisition, or more-than-expected dividend pay-out, weakening the financial risk profile, particularly liquidity.

About the Company

Established in 1979, KFL is managed by the chairman and managing director, Ms Rohini G Kalyani. The company manufactures high-quality hot-warm, and cold-forged products at its plants in Koregaon Bhima and Sanaswadi in Pune, Maharashtra.

Key Financial Indicators
Particulars Unit 2019 2018
Revenue Rs crore 288.9 262.9
Profit after tax (PAT) Rs crore 6.96 6.56
PAT margin % 2.41 2.5
Adjusted debt/adjusted networth Times 0.42 0.59
Interest coverage Times 3.85 4.04

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of instrument Date of
Allotment
Coupon
Rate (%)
Maturity date Issue
Size (Rs Cr)
Rating Assigned
with Outlook
NA Buyer`s Credit NA NA NA 5 CRISIL BBB+/Stable
NA Cash Credit NA NA NA 40 CRISIL BBB+/Stable
NA FCNR (B) Short Term Loan NA NA NA 35 CRISIL A2
NA Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee NA NA NA 17 CRISIL A2
NA Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits NA NA NA 3 CRISIL BBB+/Stable
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2019 (History) 2018  2017  2016  Start of 2016
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  83.00  CRISIL BBB+/Stable/ CRISIL A2      27-06-18  CRISIL BBB+/Positive/ CRISIL A2  17-03-17  CRISIL BBB+/Stable/ CRISIL A2  09-09-16  CRISIL BBB+/Stable  CRISIL A-/Negative 
                    06-05-16  CRISIL A-/Negative   
Non Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  17.00  CRISIL A2      27-06-18  CRISIL A2  17-03-17  CRISIL A2  09-09-16  CRISIL A2  CRISIL A2+ 
                    06-05-16  CRISIL A2+   
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Buyer`s Credit 5 CRISIL BBB+/Stable Buyer`s Credit 5 CRISIL BBB+/Positive
Cash Credit 40 CRISIL BBB+/Stable Cash Credit 40 CRISIL BBB+/Positive
FCNR (B) Short Term Loan 35 CRISIL A2 FCNR (B) Short Term Loan 10 CRISIL A2
Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 17 CRISIL A2 Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 17 CRISIL A2
Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits 3 CRISIL BBB+/Stable Long Term Loan 25 CRISIL BBB+/Positive
-- 0 -- Proposed Long Term Bank Loan Facility .92 CRISIL BBB+/Positive
-- 0 -- Term Loan 2.08 CRISIL BBB+/Positive
Total 100 -- Total 100 --
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
Rating Criteria for Auto Component Suppliers
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt

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