Rating Rationale
September 22, 2020 | Mumbai
Kalyani Forge Limited
Rating outlook revised to 'Negative'; ratings reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.100 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL BBB+/Negative (Outlook revised from 'Stable' and rating reaffirmed)
Short Term Rating CRISIL A2 (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has revised its rating outlook on the long-term bank facilities of Kalyani Forge Ltd (KFL) to 'Negative' from 'Stable' while reaffirming the rating at 'CRISIL BBB+'. The rating on the short-term bank facilities has been reaffirmed at 'CRISIL A2'.
 
The outlook revision reflects expected deterioration in the business risk profile, as against CRISIL's earlier expectation, on account of decline in revenue and profitability following sluggish demand from the auto industry. Also, the lockdown and other measures taken by the Centre and various state governments towards containment of the Covid-19 pandemic are expected to further impact KFL's business risk profile for fiscal 2021.
 
While operating profit in Q1FY21 has improved to 9% as compared to EBITDA loss in Q4FY20 due to cost rationalization measures undertaken by company; sustenance of same along with recovery in revenues in fiscal 2021 would be a key monitorable. However, the overall credit risk profile will be supported by the company's healthy financial risk profile and adequate liquidity.
 
The ratings continue to reflect KFL's established market position in the domestic forging and machining industry and healthy financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by large working capital requirement, modest return on capital employed (RoCE) and susceptibility to cyclicality in the automotive (auto) sector, volatility in raw material prices and intense competition.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths: 
* Established market position: A presence of around four decades in the domestic forging and machining industry has enabled the promoters to develop a healthy relationship with reputed original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the auto segment.
 
* Healthy financial risk profile: Total outside liabilities to tangible networth ratio was moderate at 0.79 time as on March 31, 2020, supported by healthy networth of Rs 102 crore and controlled working capital debt. Interest coverage ratio, although moderated in fiscal 2020 to 1.9 times on account of lower profitability, is expected to improve to 3.5 times in fiscal 2021 due to lower interest outgo and recovery in operating margin.
 
Weaknesses:
* Susceptibility to cyclicality in the auto sector, volatility in raw material prices and intense competition: Profitability remains susceptible to volatile raw material prices with any increase being passed on to customers with some time lag. Furthermore, most of the revenue (around 70%) comes from the auto sector, which is cyclical, as seen in fiscal 2020 when revenue & profitability declined sharply. Moreover, there is intense competition from auto ancillary manufacturers, which limits bargaining power with customers.
 
* Large working capital requirement: Gross current assets were high at 187 days, driven by receivables of 103 days and inventory of 76 days, as on March 31, 2020.
 
* Modest RoCE: The RoCE was negative for fiscal 2020, and should remain low at 0.5-4% over medium term because of moderate profitability.
Liquidity Adequate

Cash accrual is expected to be Rs 8-15 crore per annum in fiscals 2021 and 2022 and unencumbered cash and cash equivalent of Rs 1.5 crore as on March 31, 2020. The company also has access to bank limits of Rs 30 crore, which was utilised at around 52% over the 12 months through July 2020. The company has long-term debt obligation of Rs 6.22 crore and Rs 0.94 crore in fiscals 2021 and 2022, respectively. No major, debt-funded capex is planned over fiscals 2021 and 2022. CRISIL believes KFL's net cash accrual, unutilised bank limits and cash and cash equivalent will be sufficient to fund incremental working capital, debt repayment and moderate capex requirements over the medium term.

Outlook: Negative

CRISIL believes the business risk profile of KFL will be under pressure over the medium term due to weak demand scenario in the auto sector.

Rating Sensitivity factors
Upward factors:
* Sustained improvement in revenues with operating margin of over 9%; resulting in net cash accruals to over Rs 15 crore
* Sharp & sustained improvement in working capital cycle
 
Downward factors:
* Decline in net cash accrual to below Rs 8 crore in fiscal 2021
* Large working capital requirement; larger-than-expected, debt-funded capital expenditure (capex) or acquisition; or more-than-expected dividend payout, weakening the financial risk profile, particularly liquidity
About the Company

Established in 1979, KFL is managed by the chairman and managing director, Ms Rohini G Kalyani. The company manufactures high-quality, hot-warm and cold-forged products at its plants in Koregaon Bhima and Sanaswadi in Pune, Maharashtra.

Key Financial Indicators
Particulars Unit 2020 2019
Revenue Rs crore 202.15 288.87
Profit after tax (PAT) Rs crore -6.93 6.96
PAT margin % -3.43 2.41
Adjusted debt/adjusted networth Times 0.31 0.42
Interest coverage Times 1.9 3.87

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the Annexure -- Details of Instrument in this Rating Rationale. For more details on the CRISIL complexity levels, please visit www.crisil.com/complexity-levels.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of instrument Date of
Allotment
Coupon
Rate (%)
Maturity date Issue Size
(Rs crore)
Complexity levels Rating Assigned
with Outlook
NA Cash Credit NA NA NA 40 NA CRISIL BBB+/Negative
NA FCNR (B) Long Term Loan NA NA Sep-2021 8 NA CRISIL BBB+/Negative
NA Foreign Exchange Facility NA NA NA 1 NA CRISIL A2
NA Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee NA NA NA 22 NA CRISIL A2
NA Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits NA NA NA 29 NA CRISIL BBB+/Negative
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2020 (History) 2019  2018  2017  Start of 2017
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  78.00  CRISIL BBB+/Negative/ CRISIL A2      27-08-19  CRISIL BBB+/Stable/ CRISIL A2  27-06-18  CRISIL BBB+/Positive/ CRISIL A2  17-03-17  CRISIL BBB+/Stable/ CRISIL A2  CRISIL BBB+/Stable 
Non Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  22.00  CRISIL A2      27-08-19  CRISIL A2  27-06-18  CRISIL A2  17-03-17  CRISIL A2  CRISIL A2 
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Cash Credit 40 CRISIL BBB+/Negative Buyer`s Credit 5 CRISIL BBB+/Stable
FCNR (B) Long Term Loan 8 CRISIL BBB+/Negative Cash Credit 40 CRISIL BBB+/Stable
Foreign Exchange Facility 1 CRISIL A2 FCNR (B) Short Term Loan 35 CRISIL A2
Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 22 CRISIL A2 Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 17 CRISIL A2
Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits 29 CRISIL BBB+/Negative Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits 3 CRISIL BBB+/Stable
Total 100 -- Total 100 --
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
Rating Criteria for Auto Component Suppliers
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt

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