Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Established track record and brand name in gold financing industry
Muthoot Finance has sustained its leadership position in the gold financing segment, supported by the long and established track record of 80 years of its promoter family. The company has a large operational base of over 4,600 branches across India, which has supported its leadership position among NBFCs carrying out gold loan business over the years. Despite moderate volume growth and increased competition from banks due to LTV relaxation benefit extended to them until March 31, 2021, the company’s gold loan AUM grew by 27.4% over fiscal 2021 to reach Rs 51,927 crore on March 31, 2021. This was a factor of appreciation in gold prices, new disbursals made at marginally higher than average LTV and, expansion of active customer base through reactivation of old inactive customers and increase in the number of new customers.
Historically, the company’s operating efficiency – indicated by average gold loan AUM per branch – has been higher than that of peers. As at the end of March 31, 2021, the average AUM per branch stood at Rs 11.2 crore, almost double of that for fiscal 2013.
Muthoot Finance’s extensive branch network and client base, which is relatively more diverse in terms of geographies and is gradually improving further, should support the further strengthening of its competitive position over the medium term. While the company had started to diversify into non-gold segments, its primary focus would remain on gold loans over the medium term in light of the challenges being faced by other asset classes after the pandemic.
Muthoot Finance’s capital position remains strong in relation to its scale and nature of operations, supported by its demonstrated ability to raise capital frequently and large accretions to networth. As on March 31, 2021, the company reported a consolidated networth of Rs 15,575 crore and a comfortable gearing of 3.2 times. The gearing has remained below 4 times for several years now. Tier I and overall capital adequacy ratios on a standalone basis have also remained comfortable over 20% over the last few years driven by stable growth in business, and stood at 26.3% and 27.4% respectively on March 31, 2021. Strong internal cash generation from the gold loan business will allow Muthoot Finance to prudently capitalise its subsidiaries and provide need-based liquidity support, apart from strengthening its standalone capital position. Even after factoring in leverage in the key subsidiaries, CRISIL Ratings believes the consolidated gearing will remain below 5 times and capital adequacy ratio above 20% over the medium term.
- Profitability among the best in the industry, expected to remain healthy
The company’s earnings profile has been healthy in the past and, has improved further over the last few fiscals to outperform NBFCs and banks. For fiscal 2020 and 2021, the consolidated RoMA stood at 6.5% and 6.1%, respectively – which is higher than almost all lending entities operating in India. This superior profitability can be attributed to the company’s ability to generate high interest margins while keeping operating expenses and provisioning requirements low. Over the past 2-3 fiscals, increased focus on collection of interest on a regular basis and revision in interest rates on different schemes helped sustain margins. Asset quality as measured by annualised credit costs has also been under control, except a one-time deviation in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 when NPAs rose due to change in NPA recognition norms from account-wise to borrower-wise. Stage III assets stood at 0.9% as on March 31, 2021, compared with 2.2% as on March 31, 2020. Barring one instance in fiscal 2018, stage III assets/GNPAs have remained below 3%. Additionally, lower asset-side risk (security of gold, which is liquid and is in the lender’s possession) helps control credit costs in the gold finance business. Over the past five years, credit costs have remained below 1% of total assets. Even in fiscal 2021, despite the expectation of a marginal uptick in credit losses of non-gold businesses due to Covid-19-related disruption, consolidated profitability is expected to remain healthy. As the group diversifies into other segments in the long run, asset quality and profitability of the non-gold businesses will remain monitorables.
Weaknesses:
- Geographical concentration in operations and low market presence in non-gold businesses
Despite attempts for gradual diversification, Muthoot Finance’s operations have a high degree of geographical concentration - South India accounted for 50% of the company’s AUM and 60% of its branches as on March 31, 2021. Significant regional concentration renders the company to vulnerabilities of economic, social, and political disruptions in the region. An instance of this nature was witnessed last year in the form of strikes called by a group of employees associated with Centre of Indian Trade Unions (CITU) which resulted in momentary disruption of operations of a few branches in Kerala. However, as per the management, none of the existing branches in the state are facing any disruptions on account of this event. As of March 31, 2021, the company had a small exposure of <3% to Kerala and as part of its branch rationalisation strategy, this exposure may get reduced further.
Muthoot Finance had started to diversify its product suite across housing finance, microfinance, vehicle finance and a few other segments. This expansion into non- gold segments and growth of these businesses led to an increase in their share in the consolidated AUM, to almost 13% by the end of fiscal 2020. However, none of these businesses command good market share. Furthermore, in the aftermath of the pandemic, the management has taken a conscious call to curtail disbursements over the next few quarters. Consequently, the housing loan and vehicle finance businesses saw a decline (annualised) of 13.8% and 27.9%, respectively over fiscal 2021; while the microfinance portfolio registered a growth of 25% during the same period. As a result, the share of non-gold businesses has declined to 10% in the consolidated AUM of Muthoot Finance. Over the medium term, as the focus on these segments will remain low – high segmental concentration in AUM and revenue profile will remain a key monitorable.
- Asset quality challenges associated with non-gold loan segments
Given the low track record and seasoning in the non-gold loan segments, the growth, asset quality and profitability in those segments are yet to stabilise. Within the housing finance segment, Muthoot Homefin operates in the affordable housing finance segment, catering to self-employed customers engaged in small business activities and thus, have a relatively weak credit risk profile because of the volatile nature of their income and employment in un-organised segments. Similarly, microfinance loans (under Belstar Microfinance), through which the company intends to cater to weaker sections of the society, are unsecured in nature and are rendered to borrowers with a weak credit risk profile. This segment also exhibits high subjectivity to local socio-political issues. The vehicle finance business (under Muthoot Money), which is relatively new, deals with lending against commercial vehicles and equipment – majority of which are used/pre-owned vehicles.
With respect to impact of covid-19, the non-gold businesses have faced asset quality challenges in the aftermath of the pandemic. While collections across most of these segments, after dropping drastically in Q1 2021, had started to revive in the second half of the fiscal, the second wave has prolonged the improvement. Consequently, the pro-forma GNPAs have increased significantly. As on March 31, 2021, the pro-forma GNPA for the microfinance business (Belstar) was 2.4%, for the vehicle loans (Muthoot Money) was 8.6% and, for housing loans (Muthoot Homefin) was 4.0%. In light of prevailing asset quality challenges, the standalone earnings profile of non-gold businesses is expected to remain weak over the next few quarters. From a longer term perspective, as the growth within these segments has remained limited as yet, the asset quality and profitability in these businesses will be a key monitorable.