Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Established market position in gold financing, supported by extensive experience of the promoters
MFL is the third largest gold loan non-banking financial company (NBFC). The promoters have spent over seven decades in the business of lending against gold jewellery. Over the years, the group has established a strong reputation and brand in South India, particularly Kerala and Tamil Nadu, and has an appropriate assessment and underwriting methodology.
The gold loan AUM is estimated at around Rs 17,722 crore as on March 2021 from Rs 14,924 crore as on March 31, 2020. The total gold holding stood at around 51 tonne on the same date (49.4 tonne as on March 31, 2019). The company maintained its pace of growth with an average of over Rs 3,000 crore in disbursements on monthly basis till March 2020. During fiscal 2021, the company disbursed Rs 38,487 crore. The growth has been despite increase in competition from banks and having a regulatory LTV disadvantage during this period. The AUM per branch has also increased to Rs ~4.8 crore as on December 31, 2020 as compared to Rs ~3.5 crore a year ago. CRISIL Ratings expects the company to grow 18-20% over the medium term.
- Diversified product profile of the MPG group
MPG has diversified its product profile over the past few years. Currently, the group operates in five major segments: loan against gold jewellery, two-wheeler finance, microfinance, housing finance and small business loans. Overall managed AUM of MPG is estimated to be around Rs 26,359 crore as on December 31, 2020 (Rs 24,103 crore as on March 31, 2020). The proportion of gold loans has seen steady increase to over 60% as on March 31, 2020 and further to 67% as on December 31, 2020. The microfinance portfolio is second largest with around 17% of overall portfolio of the group as on December 31, 2020. In light of the current pandemic-related challenges, the growth in non-gold segments, such as microfinance and vehicle finance, is expected to remain muted in the near term. Furthermore, the demand for gold loans during this period is expected to remain high and, as a result, the proportion of gold loans is expected to be maintained in the near term.
- Healthy asset quality in the gold loan segment to support overall group asset quality
The gross NPAs for MFL stood at 2.31% as on December 31, 2020, against 1.86% as on March 31, 2020. The NPAs are primarily in the SME portfolio wherein the performance was affected due to slowdown in the sector. However, CRISIL Ratings notes that due to asset quality issues and the pandemic, the company, incrementally, has reduced its exposure to the SME segment and has started focusing primarily on gold loan products. The proportion of SME loans has reduced further to around 3% of the overall group’s AUM as on December 31, 2020, from 8% as on March 31, 2018. In the gold loan segment, MFL has maintained healthy asset quality over the years, backed by strong collection efficiency, as reflected in GNPAs of 1.0-1.8% over the last five fiscals. Asset quality, as better measured by credit costs, has also been under control within 0.5% during this period for gold loans. Since November 2020, the company has initiated regular auction process and the NPAs in the gold segment are likely to reduce in the coming period. As on December 31, 2020, MFL’s GNPA and credit cost stood at 2.3% and 0.2% (annualised), respectively. Furthermore, in the current fiscal, the company has focused on short tenure (6-month) gold loan product compared to average 9-month product in the previous fiscal. This should help MFL de-risk the portfolio from any sharp movements in gold prices in the near term.
- Improving earnings profile for gold loan business
MFL's profitability, on standalone basis, has improved in fiscal 2021 on account of higher returns from the gold business during the pandemic, steady reduction in overall opex cost over the years and overall low credit costs. RoMA improved significantly to 1.7% (annualised) compared to just 1.2% and 1.0% in fiscal 2020 and 2018, respectively. MFL has maintained its focus on regular interest collection which may reduce loss on interest income, if any, on auction of pledged jewellery. Furthermore, with the current trend in gold prices, the company is not expecting any issues with respect to interest losses. On a consolidated level, MFL’s profitability accounts for 87% of the overall group profits and is expected to support the group’s profitability. Therefore, profitability of MPG is expected to improve steadily over the medium term. However, the group’s ability to manage earnings primarily within non-gold segments will be monitored.
Weaknesses:
MFL’s networth, at standalone level, stood at Rs 3,065 crore as on December 31, 2020, against Rs 2,954 crore as on March 31, 2020. Additionally, estimated gearing (including securitisation [assignments or PTCs] treated as borrowings) stood at 5.9 times as on December 31, 2020 (5.3 times as on March 31, 2020). On a consolidated level, estimated gearing of the group stood at 7.6 times as on December 31, 2020, which is similar to gearing as on March 31, 2020. Capitalisation is further supported by low asset-side risks (security of gold jewellery, which is liquid and in the lender’s possession) despite no fresh capital infusion thus far. Post adjusting the MFL’s real estate exposure of Rs 540 crore, the adjusted gearing at standalone and consolidated levels stands at 6.4 times and 8 times, respectively, as on December 31, 2020. The management is expected to maintain gearing at current level over the medium term. Additionally, the promoter is expected to infuse around Rs 200 crore in fiscal 2022. However, any material increase in gearing beyond current thresholds will be a key rating sensitivity factor.
- Geographical concentration in portfolio
High geographical concentration persists, with South India accounting for around 64% of the gold loan portfolio; with Tamil Nadu and Kerala constituting around 27% of the gold loan portfolio as on December 31, 2020 (as compared to 70% and 34%, respectively, as on March 31, 2019). This was achieved by increase in per branch business from branches other than southern branches, opening of new branches in North, East and South and closure or merger of non-viable branches in South India. At the MPG level, around 80% of AUM is concentrated in South Indian states, with Tamil Nadu and Kerala constituting around 47%. While the level of concentration has been declining, it is higher than that of its peers. Furthermore, with some relaxations allowed by the state governments in Kerala and Tamil Nadu, the branch operations in those regions have been restarted. Presently, the demand for gold loans has been high in these regions. Therefore, the proportion of AUM from the South region may not decline further during fiscal 2021.
Furthermore, Kerala accounts for around 11% of the group’s loan portfolio. Impact of the Kerala Money Lenders Act, 1958, on NBFCs, the applicability of which depends on the decision of the Supreme Court, could affect lending rates and operational expenditure.
- Potential challenges associated with non-gold loan segments
The non-gold segments accounted for less than 35% of the overall portfolio as on December 31, 2020. While MPG has managed to grow these businesses and increase the segmental share over the last 2-3 years, potential challenges linked to seasoning of the loan book and asset quality remain. Asset quality in both microfinance and vehicle finance segments has witnessed deterioration. The 90+ dpd level for MML (microfinance business) stood at 7.2% as on December 31, 2020 (5.7% as on March 31, 2020). The gross NPAs in case of MCSL (vehicle finance business) have increased to 11.4% (stage III including proforma NPA) as on December 31, 2020, against 5.8% as on March 31, 2019. The 90+ dpd for MHFL (housing finance business) stood at 3.9% as on December 31, 2020.
The microfinance and vehicle finance businesses are more prone to risks arising due to the pandemic. Nevertheless, post September 2020, CRISIL Ratings has observed substantial improvement in the collection efficiency within the vehicle finance segment. The microfinance segment has also witnessed improvement in its collections consistently during the last 2-3 months. CRISIL Ratings believes that the consolidated credit profile will be able to absorb asset quality risks in the microfinance, vehicle or housing finance businesses in the near term. Furthermore, the non-gold segment is expected to recover over the next 2-3 quarters. Nevertheless, CRISIL Ratings will continue to closely monitor the delinquency trend and collection efficiencies in the non-gold loan segments in the near term. Additionally, sufficiency of capital buffers to withstand asset-side shocks remains a key rating sensitivity factor.