Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Expected financial, operational and management support from the parent
Parental support is expected on an ongoing basis as well as in the event of distress. Given majority ownership, shared name, common branding and corporate identity, CRISIL Ratings believes MFL has a strong moral obligation to support MML. The MPG promoters are also on the board of MML. The microfinance business is strategically important and is the second largest, in terms of AUM, for the group, after gold loans. The business has stabilised and has contributed significantly to the parent's profitability over the five years through fiscal 2022 (loss in fiscal 2018 was primarily on account of change in accounting method from IGAAP to IndAS. In addition, MML provides diversity to the product profile.
MML also benefits from the group's strong brand equity through its flagship business of gold loans, particularly in South India. Further, MFL has the financial flexibility to infuse capital into MML to support growth. The promoters and the private equity fund, Creation Investments, infused capital of around Rs 440 crore in fiscals 2016-2019. In addition to this, MML has recently in December 2021 raised $50 million; Greater Pacific Capital (GPC) being the investor. This infusion has further strengthened MML’s capital position to adequately support its medium term growth plans. On account of these capital infusion and steady internal accrual, MML's networth stood at Rs 1350 crore as on June 30, 2022.
Despite the recent equity raise, CRISIL Ratings understands MFL will continue to retain majority ownership in MML. The extent of ownership retained by MFL will be a key rating sensitivity factor.
Long track record and experience of the promoters in the microfinance space; thereby also supporting resource profile
The promoters have spent over seven decades in the business of lending, beginning with gold loans, and have over the years forayed into two-wheeler financing, microfinance and housing finance. MPG started its microfinance operations as a separate division of MFL in 2010 and continued it until September 2015. In December 2011, the group acquired a Mumbai-based non-banking financial company (NBFC), Pancharatna Securities Ltd, and renamed it MML. After receiving the NBFC-MFI license from the RBI in March 2015, the microfinance business was shifted to MML from MFL. The second line of management comprises professionals with extensive experience in lending, audit, operations, risk, credit and information technology. Over the years, the group has established a strong reputation and brand in South India, particularly Kerala and Tamil Nadu, and has an appropriate assessment and underwriting methodology, which is being constantly refined.
The presence of the experienced promoters also lends support to diversity in the resource profile for the company. The company had a diversified funding profile with lender base of over 35 lenders as of June 30, 2022, including banks, NBFCs, borrowings from capital markets, securitization and commercial paper.
Above-average earnings historically, albeit moderation on account of higher provisioning to combat the pandemic
Historically, the microfinance business has been one of the most profitable businesses for MPG. However, in fiscal 2020, the company reported profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 18 crore, against Rs 201 crore in fiscal 2019. Improved profitability in fiscal 2019 could also partly be attributed to the transitional provisions of IndAS, as the company adopted it for the first time during the year. The decline in profitability in fiscal 2020 was on account of increase in delinquencies, which impacted interest income, as well as a spike in credit costs on account of the company's adoption of an aggressive provisioning policy during the period. Considering the unprecedented times on account of the Coivd-19 pandemic and the credit profile of borrowers, the company had continued with higher provisioning (including write-offs) even in the fiscal 2022 as they did in fiscal 2020 and 2021. As a result, the company reported a profit of Rs 47.4 crore in the fiscal 2022. During Q1 FY23, the company reported a PAT of Rs 7.9 crore.
Credit costs stood at 1.7% in fiscal 2022 on account of continued asset quality pressures in certain geographies, linked to pandemic besides floods and local socio-political issues and the company's aggressive provisioning policy. During fiscal 2022, the company made provisions of Rs 111.5 crore (including write-offs of Rs 100.4 crore). In Q1 FY23, company made additional provisions of Rs 59 crore (including Rs 32.2 crore of write-offs). Given the aggressive provisioning implemented by the company in last two fiscals, profitability is expected to improve in the current fiscal. Nevertheless, MML’s ability to manage recoveries once normalcy is restored would be a key rating sensitivity factor.
Weakness:
Moderation in asset quality
After showing improvement in fiscal 2019, wherein 90+ days past due (dpd) improved to 2% as of March 2019 from 3.1% a year earlier, the company’s asset quality metrics deteriorated in fiscal 2020.
The 90+ dpd increased to 5.7% as on February 29, 2020, on account of floods in Kerala and Odisha and political unrest in Karnataka. The company also faced challenges in some districts of Tamil Nadu, such as Madurai and Sivagangai because of a cyclone and socio-political issues in coastal Karnataka and Gujarat. However, the company has consciously curtailed disbursements in the affected branches and regions and has shifted its focus to collections in these areas in an effort to keep a check on further delinquencies.
However, asset quality deteriorated in fiscal 2021 and fiscal 2022 amid the pandemic. The 90+ dpd stood at 7.5% as on June 30, 2022 (6.8% as on March 31, 2022), on account of the impact of Covid-19 induced lockdown on the economy and the income-generating capacity of the borrowers. In addition, the outstanding restructured portfolio as on June 30, 2022 was Rs 489 crore (7.5% of the total portfolio). Management of recoveries once normalcy is restored in business operations and the ability to manage asset quality and maintain healthy collections across buckets including restructured portfolio will remain key monitorable.
Geographical concentration
Operations are expected to remain concentrated in South India over the medium term. MML's microfinance operations from three states accounted for around 63.2% of AUM as on June 30, 2022 with Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Karnataka contributing 32%, 22.4% and 8.9%, respectively. The company has been expanding operations outside southern India to around 13 other states over the past two years. As a result, per-state concentration has been consistently declining, with the top state accounting for 32% of the total portfolio as on June 30, 2022, down from 53% as on March 31, 2016. However, the ability to replicate similar systems, processes and controls in new geographies will need to be closely monitored. As a result of the natural calamities in fiscal 2018 (cyclones in Tamil Nadu and Odisha and floods in Kerala), the company plans to reduce geographical concentration of portfolio to around 20% per state, over the medium term, in order to reduce the impact of such events on the overall portfolio.
Susceptibility to regulatory and legislative risks associated with the microfinance sector
The microfinance sector witnessed two major disruptive events in the past decade. The first was the crisis promulgated by the ordinance passed by the government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010, and the second was demonetisation in 2016. Promulgation of the ordinance on MFIs by the government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 exposed them to regulatory and legislative risks. The ordinance triggered a chain of events that adversely affected the business models of MFIs by impairing their growth, asset quality, profitability and solvency. The sector witnessed high levels of delinquencies post demonetisation and subsequent socio-political events. The MFI Bill, 2020 passed recently by the Assam Assembly may increase asset-quality challenges for MFIs. Further, announcement of any loan waivers may worsen matters, due to their impact on repayment discipline. The sector also remains susceptible to regional issues such as elections, natural calamities and borrower protests among others, which may result in momentary spurt in delinquencies. This indicates the fragility of the business model to external risks. As the business involves lending to the poor and downtrodden sections of society, MFIs will remain exposed to socially sensitive factors, including high interest rates, tighter regulations and legislations.