Rating Rationale
April 12, 2023 | Mumbai
 
NIMBUS 2022 MFI Lagos
(Originator: Asirvad Microfinance Limited)
'Provisional CRISIL AA (SO)' assigned to Series A1 PTCs
 
Rating Action
Trust Name Details& Pool Principal (Rs. in Crores) Amount Rated (Rs.in Crores) Original Tenure (Months)* Cash Collateral (Rs.in Crores)^ Ratings/Credit Opinions@ Rating Action
NIMBUS 2022 MFI Lagos Series A1 PTCs 261.72 225.08 19 10.47 Provisional CRISIL AA (SO) Provisional Rating Assigned
Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
&Series A1 PTC holders are promised timely interest payments on a monthly basis and principal repayment on an ultimate basis by the instrument’s legal maturity
*Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option
^Additional credit support includes scheduled cashflow subordination (assuming zero prepayments) amounting to Rs 72.98 crore – including Rs 34.02 crore of overcollateralisation and Rs 2.62 crore of unrated equity tranche PTC principal
@A prefix of 'Provisional' indicates that the rating centrally factors in the strength of specific structures, and is contingent upon occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable, without which the rating would either have been different or not assigned ab initio. This is in compliance with a May 6, 2015 directive ‘Standardizing the term, rating symbol, and manner of disclosure with regards to conditional/ provisional/ in-principle ratings assigned by credit rating agencies' by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and April 27, 2021 circular ‘Standardizing and Strengthening Policies on Provisional Rating by Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) for Debt Instruments’ by SEBI

 

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has assigned its ‘Provisional CRISIL AA (SO)’ rating to Series A1 pass-through certificates (PTCs) issued by ‘NIMBUS 2022 MFI Lagos’ under a securitisation transaction originated by Asirvad Micro Finance Limited (AMFL; rated ‘CRISIL AA-/CRISILPPMLD AA-/Stable/CRISIL A1+’).

 

This transaction is backed by a pool comprising microfinance loan receivables originated by AMFL. The ratings are based on credit quality of the underlying pool receivables, origination and servicing capabilities of AMFL, credit support available to the PTCs, payment mechanism for the transaction, and soundness of the transaction’s legal structure.

 

The transaction has a ‘Par with Excess Interest Spread (EIS)’ structure. AMFL will assign the loan pool to ‘NIMBUS 2022 MFI Lagos’, a trust settled by Catalyst Trusteeship Limited (CTL), which will issue Series A1 PTCs to investors in exchange for a purchase consideration equal to 86.0% of the pool principal outstanding as on the cut-off date (February 28, 2023). Investor payouts for Series A1 PTCs are supported by cash collateral and cashflow subordination.

 

Total credit support available in the transaction structure is as below:

 

  • Internal credit enhancement from scheduled cashflow subordination (assuming zero prepayments) amounting to Rs 72.98 crore (27.9% of pool principal) includes Rs 34.02 crore of principal overcollateralisation (13.0% of initial pool principal), Rs 2.62 crore of equity tranche PTC principal (1.0% of initial pool principal), and Rs 36.34 crore of excess interest spread (13.9% of initial pool principal) for Series A1 PTCs. In case the pool PAR 90+ exceeds 7.00% of the initial pool principal, the EIS shall be utilized to make additional principal repayment to the Series A1 investors.
  • External cash collateral in the structure amounting to Rs 10.47 crore (4.0% of initial pool principal) in the form of a fixed deposit.

 

Series A1 PTCs are promised timely monthly interest payments. Principal repayment, while expected on a monthly basis, is promised only on an ultimate basis by the instrument’s legal final maturity. AMFL will continue to service loan contracts in the pool as the servicing agent.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • External cash collateral in the structure amounting to Rs 10.47 crore (4.0% of pool principal) and internal credit enhancement from scheduled cashflow subordination (assuming zero prepayments) amounting to Rs 72.98 crore (27.9% of pool principal) which includes Rs 34.02 crore of principal overcollateralisation (13.0% of initial pool principal), Rs 2.62 crore of equity tranche PTC principal (1.0% of initial pool principal), and Rs 36.34 crore of excess interest spread (13.9% of initial pool principal) for Series A1 PTCs.
  • All 75,889 contracts in the underlying loan pool are current as of the cut-off date (February 28, 2023), with no instance of delinquency being seen since disbursement.
  • The pool is geographically diversified, with the share of top 3 states and top 3 districts at 40.4% and 5.4% of initial pool principal respectively

 

Weakness:

  • The microfinance industry remains susceptible to risks arising out of economic events, socio-political issues and regulatory changes. Such events can potentially disrupt loan repayments of underlying borrowers. The unsecured nature of microfinance loans and inherent modest credit risk profile of the borrowers have been considered by CRISIL Ratings in its analysis.

Liquidity: Strong

Liquidity is strong given that the credit enhancement available in the structure is sufficient to cover losses exceeding 2.3 times the currently estimated base shortfalls.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward

  • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) available in the structure exceeding 3.0 times the estimated base case shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool.

 

Downward

  • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) falling below 2.2 times the estimated base case shortfalls.
  • A sharp downgrade in the rating of the servicer/originator.
  • Non-adherence to the key transaction terms envisaged at the time of the rating.

 

About the Pool

The transaction is backed by microfinance receivables originated by AMFL. The pool contracts have a weighted average seasoning of 6.7 months, which has led to 24.0% of the disbursed principal being amortised as of the pool cut-off date. The pool is diversified in terms of geography with the top 3 states and top 3 districts accounting for 40.4% and 5.4% of the initial pool principal respectively. As of the pool cut-off date, the average ticket size for contracts in the pool was Rs 44,932, with a weighted average interest rate of 24.0% and a weighted average tenure of 23.6 months. All the contracts in the underlying loan pool were current on repayment as of the pool cut-off date (February 28, 2023). CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored all these aspects in its rating analysis.

 

Rating Assumptions

To assess the base case shortfalls for the transaction, CRISIL Ratings has analysed the microfinance industry’s dynamic portfolio delinquencies on a state-level basis over various operating cycles, including the collection performance observed in stressed periods. CRISIL Ratings has also analysed the quantum and timing of loans written off by prominent NBFC-MFIs over FY21 to Q1FY23. Additionally, CRISIL Ratings has considered AMFL’s dynamic portfolio delinquency performance up to December 2022, along with write-off and restructuring information. CRISIL Ratings has also analysed the portfolio cuts based on various parameters and compared the pool with the portfolio on these parameters.

 

CRISIL Ratings has estimated base case shortfalls in the pool at 7.0%-9.0% of cash flows. Additionally, stresses on account of economic, political and geography concentration factors have been applied. CRISIL Ratings has also assumed a monthly prepayment of 0.5%-1.5% in its credit enhancement calculation. CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored in the risks arising on account of counterparties (refer to Counterparty Details). CRISIL Ratings has run sensitivities based on various shortfall curves (front-ended, back-ended and normal) and has adequately factored the same in its analysis.

 

Counterparty Details

Capacity

Counterparty Name

Counterparty Rating

Effect on credit ratings in case of non-performance

Originator

AMFL

Rated ‘CRISIL AA-/CRISIL PPMLD AA-/Stable/CRISIL A1+’

No effect.

Servicer

AMFL

Rated ‘CRISIL AA-/CRISIL PPMLD AA-/Stable/CRISIL A1+’

Significant effect, because of change in servicing quality and replacement cost of servicer. However, currently CRISIL Ratings does not envisage the need for replacement. The Trust or investor has right to change the servicer with an intimation to CRISIL Ratings.

Collection and Payout Account Bank

Axis Bank Limited

Rated ‘CRISIL AA+/CRISIL AAA/Stable/ CRISIL A1+’

Negligible effect. Account bank can be changed without impacting the rating.

Cash collateral in the form of Fixed Deposit

Axis Bank Limited

Rated ‘CRISIL AA+/CRISIL AAA/Stable/ CRISIL A1+’

Negligible effect. Bank with whom the fixed deposit is maintained can be changed without impacting the rating.

Trustee

CTL

Not rated

Negligible effect. Can be replaced at minimal cost.

 

Additional disclosures for the provisional rating

The provisional rating is contingent upon execution of the following documents.

 

  • Trust Deed
  • Assignment Agreement
  • Servicing Agreement
  • Accounts Agreement
  • Power of Attorney
  • Information memorandum
  • Legal opinion
  • Trustee letter
  • Originator’s Representations and Warranties letter

 

Additional documents, if any, executed for the transaction should also be provided along with the above documents. The provisional rating shall be converted into a final rating after receipt of transaction documents duly executed within 90 days from the date of issuance of the instrument. The final rating assigned post conversion shall be consistent with the available documents. In case of non-receipt of the duly executed transaction documents within the above-mentioned timelines, the rating committee of CRISIL Ratings may grant an extension of up to another 90 days in line with its policy on provisional ratings.

 

Rating that would have been assigned in the absence of the pending documentation

In the absence of documentation considered while assigning provisional rating as mentioned above, CRISIL Ratings would not have assigned any rating.

 

Risks associated with the provisional rating:

The 'Provisional' prefix indicates that the rating is contingent on occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable. If the documents received and/or completion of steps deviate significantly from the expectations, CRISIL Ratings may take an appropriate action, including placing the rating on watch or changing the rating/outlook, depending on the status of progress on a case to case basis. In the absence of the pending steps / documentation, the rating on the instrument would not have been assigned ab initio.

 

A rating rationale/report indicating the conversion of the ‘provisional’ rating into ‘final’ following receipt of all the required final legal documents will be published on the CRISIL website. Please click on the link below for detailed information on CRISIL Ratings policy on provisional rating: CRISIL Ratings’ Policy on Provisional ratings.

 

About the Originator

Asirvad, an NBFC microfinance institution, is a majority-owned subsidiary of MAFIL. Mr SV Raja Vaidyanathan, who was the managing director until June 30, 2021, set it up in 2007. Mr. B N Raveendra Babu is the current managing director of the company. MAFIL acquired a stake in Asirvad in February 2015, which increased to 97.5% as on June 30, 2022. Asirvad had 1655 branches across 377 districts in 22 states as on December 31, 2022. 

 

Asirvad reported profit after tax of Rs 118 crore on total income of Rs 1223.5 crore in 9M fiscal 2023. Loan portfolio increased to Rs 8653 crore as on December 31, 2022, from Rs 6953.5 crore as on March 31, 2022.

Key Financial Indicators

As On/For The Period Ended

Unit

Dec-22

Mar-22

Mar-21

Mar-20

Total managed assets

Rs crore

9824.5

8040

6971

6985

Total income

Rs crore

1223.5

1400

1077

1101

Gross NPA

%

6.9

3.4

2.5

1.8

Adjusted gearing^

Times

5.7

6.3

5.5

5.4

Profit after tax

Rs crore

118.1

13.4

16.9

235

Return on managed assets

%

1.8

0.2

0.3

4.1

^includes off-book borrowings

 

Past rated pools

CRISIL Ratings has ratings outstanding on one other PTC transaction originated by AMFL. CRISIL Ratings is receiving monthly servicer and payout reports from the trustee for the transaction.

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

Type of Instrument

Rated Amount

(Rs Cr)

Date of Allotment

Maturity

Date#

Coupon Rate (%) (p.a.p.m.)

Complexity level

Outstanding

Ratings/Credit Opinions

Cash collateral

(Rs.Cr)^

Series A1 PTCs

225.08

28-Mar-2023

22-Oct-24

8.50%

Highly complex

Provisional CRISIL AA (SO)

10.47

#Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option.

^Additional credit support includes scheduled cashflow subordination (assuming zero prepayments) amounting to Rs 72.98 crore – including Rs 34.02 crore of overcollateralisation and Rs 2.62 crore of unrated equity tranche PTC principal.

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2023 (History) 2022  2021  2020  Start of 2020
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Series A1 PTCs LT 225.08 Provisional CRISIL AA (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
Evaluating risks in securitisation transactions - A primer
CRISILs rating methodology for ABS transactions
Legal analysis in structured finance transactions

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