Strengths * Improved capital position and financial flexibility after recent round of equity raising After Mr. Sachin Bansal infused Rs 900 crore in tranches of Rs 600 crore and Rs 300 crore - as capital into NFPL, the company's capital position has strengthened significantly. This has resulted in NFPL's networth increasing to Rs 952 crore as of March 31, 2020 and further to Rs 1022 crore as of June 30, 2020 ' against Rs 80 crore as of March 31, 2019. This improvement can also be evidenced in NFPL's low adjusted gearing of 2.9 times (gearing excluding intra group borrowing is 0.3 times) and 1.9 times (gearing excluding intra-group borrowing is less than 0.1 time) as on March 31 and June 30, 2020, respectively. Of the quantum infused into NFPL (standalone) thus far, about 29% i.e., Rs. 260 Crores has been down-streamed to CIFCPL in tranches of Rs 146 crore equity and Rs 114 crore compulsorily convertible debentures which got converted to equity in May 2020. This has resulted in a stronger capital position for CIFCPL, evidenced by an improvement in adjusted gearing (including off book) to 1.9 times as of March 31, 2020 from 7.1 times on March 31, 2019. As on June 30, 2020, CIFCPL reported a networth of Rs 326 crore (provisional) and an adjusted gearing of 1.9 times. Mr. Bansal holds about 98% in NTPL; which in turn holds 99.6% stake in Navi Group. NTPL's networth stood at about Rs.3,952 crore as of March, 2020 ' and most of it has been infused into Navi Group as a combination of interest free debt and equity. As of June 30, 2020 ' Rs 1,824 crore was parked in NFPL as interest free debt from NTPL which has been deployed in treasury investments by the former, however, this quantum is expected to reduce in the future. Nonetheless, CRISIL understands that even after factoring in the existing and potential allocation of capital within the group, at least Rs 1000 crore worth of liquidity will be maintained within Navi group at all points in time and, it will be fungible across the group depending upon entity specific requirements. In consideration of NTPL's demonstrated track record of allocating and extending capital support, the team expects Navi group's consolidated capital position to remain strong in relation to its scale and nature of business. Over the medium term, Navi group intends to operate at a gearing of 3.5 times whereas, for NTPL (consolidated) ' gearing is expected to remain within 3 times. * Long track record of operations in the microfinance space supported by the experience of senior management Having started as an NGO in 2007, CIFCPL has an operational track record of almost 14 years. Until 2019, the company was operating as a mid-sized MFI with majority of growth having been attained in the last 3 fiscals as external investors were on-boarded. After receiving most of its capital from Mr. Bansal in October 2019, the AUM of CIFCPL has grown at a robust 54% over fiscal 2020 without any material dilution in operational metrics like average ticket size, AUM exposure per borrower, number of customers per loan officer, etc. However, this growth momentum was arrested in Q1 2021 as disbursements remained muted during the early phase of the lockdown, which led to a 7% shrinkage in AUM to Rs 818 crore as of June 30, 2020. With the onset of Q2 2021, disbursements have revived at a good pace which is expected to improve further and, should contribute to a moderate growth in AUM for fiscal 2021. As part of organisational restructuring at Navi group, Mr. Samit Shetty ' one of the co-founders of CIFCPL ' has moved on to lead NFPL as its Chief Executive Officer whereas Mr. Anand Rao ' the other co-founder - will continue to spearhead CIFCPL. The leadership team of CIFCPL has extensive experience across fields like microfinance, operations, accounts, banking and, the group will continue to benefit from the same. * Stable asset quality within the microfinance portfolio; ability to maintain sound portfolio quality in the unseasoned non-microfinance segments remains critical After peaking at 9.3% in May 2017, 90+ dpd for the microfinance portfolio at CIFCPL restored to 0.9% as of June 30, 2020. The prior deterioration in asset quality was a consequence of ground level socio-political issues which had erupted after demonetisation, and concentration of CIFCPL's loan portfolio in two of the more impacted states ' Karnataka and Maharashtra, made it worse. Cumulative write offs due to demonetisation stood at Rs 12 crore. For fiscal 2020, CIFCPL's credit costs as a proportion of its average managed assets increased from <1% to 2.4% - driven by additional provisioning of Rs 11 crore made in lieu of potential pandemic losses. As of June 30, 2020 ' 30+ dpd for CIFCPL stood at 1.3%. For NFPL which houses the non-microfinance portfolio of the group, digital personal loans has emerged as a prime focus area under the revised business strategy and the company has been running down its exposure to traditional segments like two wheelers, micro housing loans, small business loans and other smaller portfolios.
Over Q2 2021, NFPL's overall loan portfolio has marked a rapid growth of over 150% (un-annualised) which was solely driven by Rs 242 crore of disbursements within the digital personal loan segment. This portfolio has grown to constitute 83% of the NFPL's overall AUM as on September 30, 2020 replacing traditional, defocussed segments like two wheeler and micro housing loans which have declined from 90% to 16% over H1 2021 and, are expected to be run down by end of fiscal 2021. However, considering the growth plans for the digital personal loan book, the group's ability to maintain asset quality and profitability alongside scale will remain a key rating sensitivity factor. Additionally, the impact of challenges which have risen in the aftermath of Covid-19 outbreak - on the group's asset quality - will also be monitored closely. Over the course of growth, the risk management systems at CIFCPL and NFPL are expected to evolve resulting in increased operational efficiency. While microfinance would remain a manpower intensive vertical, the company would explore its integration of ground level activities to the group's centralized MIS by leveraging digital interphase. On the other hand, NFPL has been operating with a full-fledged digital underwriting engine. * Improving resource profile Ever since its association with NTPL, Navi group's resource profile has been improving. The lender base of the group has expanded with more banks coming on-board and cost of borrowing has also reduced by about 300 bps on fresh borrowings post equity infusion in October 2019. Of CIFCPL's lender base of 31 as on June 30, 2020 - which comprises Banks, NBFCs and DFIs, the share of banks in the total borrowing mix had increased to 54% from 24%, over the last 8 months. The improvement in resource profile can also be evidenced in the declining blended cost of funds (I.e., existing & fresh borrowings), from >14% have come down to sub 12% levels in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020. Over H1 of fiscal 2021, the company has raised incremental sanctions to the extent of Rs.240 crore from banks and DFIs which would support its overall resource profile and liquidity position. As the resource profile diversifies further with an increasing share of bank funding in the total debt base, the cost of borrowing may decline further. NTPL had extended Rs 772 crore of interest free loan to NFPL in January 2020 which it further increased to Rs 2,323 crore in May 2020. However, owing to lack of business demand in Q1 2021, this quantum was reduced to Rs 1,824 crore as of June 2020 and is projected to be reduced further over the medium term and replaced by external debt. However, the management has undertaken to maintain at least 15% of external debt of Navi group as on-tap liquidity for the group ' at all points in time. Weaknesses * Core profitability, constrained by high operating expenses, expected to improve hereafter with reduced leverage; though credit costs remain a key monitorable Consolidated profitability of Navi group has remained subdued - reflected in RoMA of below 1.5%, on account of high operating expenses and leverage. On a standalone basis, NFPL has been operating at a RoMA of <2.0% whereas CIFCPL has had a RoMA of sub 1.5% over the years. For fiscal 2019, Navi group's consolidated operating expense (opex) ratio was high at 8.8%. At a standalone level, CIFCPL reported an opex ratio of 8.9%. On March 31, 2019, consolidated gearing (adjusted) was also high at about 8 times, averaging close to that for CIFCPL on the same date. These constraints to the group's profitability have now been offset by the last few tranches of capital infusion, and early signs of improvement in earnings are visible.
Over the first quarter of fiscal 2021, CIFCPL's opex ratio declined to 6.5% (annualised). However, this reduction is partly attributable to reduced variable expenses for the quarter owing to the lockdown and lower disbursements. For overall profitability, the impact of this improvement has been offset by increased provisioning over the last two quarters, and consequently CIFCPL's RoMA remained flat at 0.8% (annualised) for the first quarter of fiscal 2021.
For NFPL, RoMA surged from <1% previously to 8.4% during Q1 2021 largely driven by increased treasury income which formed ~85% of its total revenue. Additional benefit has accrued in the form of interest-free funding from parent - NTPL. However, when adjusted for non-core treasury gains, NFPL's RoMA stands at about 1.3% (annualised) for quarter ended June 2020 which marks a marginal improvement over last fiscal. *Microfinance portfolio quality remains susceptible to local socio-political issues due to regional concentration of operations Despite gradual diversification in regional presence over the years, 84% of the company's AUM is concentrated in two states ' Karnataka and Maharashtra. This increases the susceptibility of asset quality to regional socio-political issues which are an inherent risk to the microfinance industry. Apart from milestone events like 2010 AP crisis, 2016 demonetization, there have been various other intermittent issues like local elections, communal issues, natural calamities, borrower protests and alike, which have resulted in momentary spurt in delinquencies at various instances however, such situations correct eventually. Additionally, the target segment of CIFCPL comprises borrowers with weak credit profiles and high seasonality in income. The income flow of this segment of customers is volatile and dependent on the local economy. Pressure on their cash flow due to unforeseen circumstances may affect the repayment capability of these borrowers. * Limited vintage in the non-microfinance portfolio With the launch of Navi App and start of disbursements within the digital personal loan segment from May 2020 onwards, NFPL's overall loan portfolio has marked a rapid growth of over 150% (un-annualised) over Q2 2021 and reached a size of Rs 317 crore as on September 30, 2020. This growth was solely driven by Rs 242 crore of disbursements of digital personal loans over Q2 2021, which constituted 83% of the NFPL's overall AUM as on September 30, 2020. In light of low seasoning and high growth trajectory anticipation for this book, and the weak asset quality exhibited by the legacy non-microfinance portfolio, the group's ability to maintain asset quality and profitability alongside scale will remain a key rating sensitivity factor.
The share of traditional, defocused segments like two wheeler and micro housing loans has reduced materially over H1 2021 from 90% to 16% and is expected to run down by end of fiscal 2021.
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