Rating Rationale
October 03, 2022 | Mumbai
 
Plutus 09 2022
(Originator: Muthoot Capital Services Limited)
'CRISIL Provisional AA (SO)' assigned to Series A1 PTCs; 'Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)' assigned to Series A2 PTCs
 
Rating Action
Trust Name Details Amount Rated (Rs in Crores) Pool Principal (Rs Crore)  Original Tenure (Months) Credit Collateral (Rs.) Ratings/Credit Opinions@ Rating Action
Plutus 09 2002 Series A1 PTCs 107.6 121.56 41 9.12 Provisional CRISIL AA (SO) Assigned
Series A2 PTCs 3.65 Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)
@ A prefix of 'Provisional' indicates that the rating centrally factors in the strength of specific structures, and is contingent upon occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable, without which the rating would either have been different or not assigned ab initio. This is in compliance with a May 6, 2015 directive ‘Standardizing the term, rating symbol, and manner of disclosure with regards to conditional/ provisional/ in-principle ratings assigned by credit rating agencies' by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and April 27, 2021 circular ‘Standardizing and Strengthening Policies on Provisional Rating by Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) for Debt Instruments’ respectively by SEBI.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

 

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has assigned its ‘Provisional CRISIL AA (SO) rating to Series A1 and Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO) rating to Series A2 pass-through certificates (PTCs) issued by ‘Plutus 09 2002. The pool is backed by two-wheeler loan receivables originated by Muthoot Capital Services Limited (MCSL; ‘CRISIL A/CRISIL PPMLD A r/Stable/CRISIL A1’). The ratings are based on the credit support available to the PTCs, the credit quality of the underlying pool receivables, MCSL’s origination and servicing capabilities, and soundness of the transaction’s legal structure.

 

The transaction has a ‘par with monthly subordinated excess interest spread (EIS)’ structure, wherein the trust settled by a trustee will issue Series A1 PTCs and Series A2 PTCs in exchange for a purchase consideration equal to 91.51% of the pool principal at the time of securitisation.

 

Total credit support available in the transaction is as follows:

  • Internal credit support in the form of scheduled cash flow subordination, aggregating Rs 31.02 crore (25.5% of pool principal or 21.3% of pool cashflows) for Series A1 PTCs and Rs 26.77 crore (22.0% of pool principal or 18.4% of pool cashflows) for Series A2 PTCs
  • External credit-cum-liquidity collateral of Rs 9.12 crore (7.5% of the pool principal or 6.3% of pool cashflows) for Series A1 PTCs and Series A2 PTCs

 

Series A1 PTC holders are entitled to receive timely interest on a monthly basis, while the principal payment is promised on an ultimate basis. Series A2 PTC holders are entitled to receive timely interest on a monthly basis once Series A1 PTC holders are paid out in full. The principal payment to Series A2 PTC holders is promised on an ultimate basis

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Credit support available in the structure
    • Credit collateral of Rs 9.12 crore (7.5% of the pool principal or 6.3% of pool cashflows) provides credit support to Series A1 PTCs and Series A2 PTCs. The PTCs also benefit from scheduled cashflow subordination aggregating Rs 31.02 crore for Series A1 PTCs and Rs. 26.77 crore for Series A2 PTCs

 

  • High seasoning of contracts in the pool 
    • The contracts in the pool have a weighted average seasoning of 7.6 months (from first payment date), and consequently, the pool is highly amortized by 31.4% as of the cut-off date of 12th September, 2022

 

Weakness:

  • High risk profile of underlying asset class
    • The pool is backed by two-wheeler loans, an asset class which has historically exhibited higher delinquency
  • Geographical Concentration
    • The pool is concentrated in terms of geography. Top 3 states- Kerala (20.5%), Karnataka (20.3%), and Andhra Pradesh (11.8%), account for 52.5% of the pool

Liquidity: Strong

Liquidity position is strong given that the credit enhancement (internal and external combined) in the structure is sufficient to cover losses exceeding 1.5 times the currently estimated base shortfalls.

 

CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored these aspects into its rating analysis.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward

  • For Series A1 PTCs:
    • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) available in the structure exceeding 3 times the estimated base case shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool
  • For Series A2 PTCs:
    • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) available in the structure exceeding 2.50 times the estimated base case shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool

Downward

  • A sharp downgrade in the rating of the servicer/originator
  • Non-adherence to the key transaction terms envisaged at the time of the rating
  • For Series A1 PTCs:
    • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) available in the structure falling below 2.50 times the estimated base case shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool
  • For Series A2 PTCs:
    • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) available in the structure falling below 1.85 times the estimated base case shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool

About the pool

The pool securitised comprises 2-wheeler loan receivables. The pool has weighted average net seasoning of 7.6 months (no of EMIs Paid). The pool is geographically concentrated with top three states accounting for 52.5% of pool principal. Average ticket size is Rs 68,229 with weighted average interest rate of 23.0%. All the contracts in the pool were current as on pool cut-off date (September 12th, 2022). CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored all these aspects in its rating analysis.

 

Additional disclosures for Provisional ratings:

The provisional rating is contingent upon execution of the following documents, as applicable:

  • Trust Deed
  • Power of Attorney
  • Agreement to assign
  • Collection and Servicing and Security Agent Agreement
  • Credit Enhancement Agreement
  • Information Memorandum
  • Legal opinion
  • Trustee letter
  • Auditor’s certificate
  • Representations and warranties letter
  • Any additional documents

 

The provisional rating shall be converted into a final rating after receipt of transaction documents duly executed within 90 days from the date of issuance of the instrument. The final rating assigned post conversion shall be consistent with the available documents. In case of non-receipt of the duly executed transaction documents within the above-mentioned timelines, the rating committee of CRISIL Ratings may grant an extension of up to another 90 days in line with its policy on provisional ratings.

 

Rating that would have been assigned in absence of the pending documentation:

In the absence of documentation considered while assigning provisional rating as mentioned above, CRISIL Ratings would not have assigned any rating.

 

Risks associated with provisional nature of credit rating:

A prefix of 'Provisional' to the rating symbol indicates that the rating is contingent upon execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable. In case the documents received deviates significantly from the expectations, CRISIL Ratings may take an appropriate action including placing the rating on watch or a rating change on a case to case basis. In the absence of the pending documentation, the rating on the instrument would either have been different or not assigned ab initio.

 

A rating rationale/report indicating the conversion of the ‘provisional’ rating into ‘final’ following receipt of all the required final legal documents will be published on the CRISIL website. Please click on the link below for detailed information on CRISIL’s policy on provisional rating: Revision in CRISIL policy for assigning ‘provisional’ rating.

 

Rating Assumptions

To assess the base case shortfalls for the transaction, CRISIL Ratings has analysed moving portfolio delinquency and static pool information (with information on 90+ delinquencies) for two-wheeler portfolio provided by MCSL for originations in the period FY14 to FY22 (with performance data till June 2022). The 90+ dpd for the 2-wheeler loan portfolio of MCSL is 25.3% as of June 2022 (the company has adhered to PCA regulations and has not availed the February ‘22 circular relaxation. Without that the 90+ dpd would be at 19.7%)

 

CRISIL Ratings has also factored in pool specific characteristics and estimated the base case peak shortfalls in the pool in the range of 8.0 to 10.0% of pool cash flows.

  • CRISIL Ratings has assumed a stressed monthly prepayment rate of 0.1 to 0.7% in its analysis.
  • Based on its assessment of MCSL’s short-term credit risk profile, CRISIL Ratings has factored in the risk arising out of commingling of cash flows.
  • CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored in the risks arising on account of counterparties (refer to counterparty details below)
  • CRISIL Ratings has run sensitivities based on various shortfall curves (front-ended, back-ended and normal) and has adequately factored the same in its analysis.

 

Counterparty details

Capacity

Counterparty Name

Counterparty Rating/ Track record

Effect on credit ratings in case of non-performance

Originator

MCSL

Rated ‘CRISIL A/CRISIL PPMLD A r/Stable/CRISIL A1’

No effect.

Servicer

 

MCSL

Rated ‘CRISIL A/CRISIL PPMLD A r/Stable/CRISIL A1

Significant effect, because of change in servicing quality and replacement cost of servicer. However, currently CRISIL Ratings does not envisage the need for replacement. Under certain circumstances, the trust or investor has the right to change the servicer by providing an intimation to CRISIL Ratings.

Collection and Payout Account Bank

ICICI Bank Limited

Rated ‘CRISIL AAA/CRISIL AA+/Stable’

Negligible effect. Account bank can be changed without impacting the rating.

Collateral in the form of Fixed Deposit

ICICI Bank Limited

Rated ‘CRISIL AAA/CRISIL AA+/Stable’

Negligible effect. Bank with whom the fixed deposit is maintained can be changed without impacting the rating.

Trustee

CTL

Adequate track record

Negligible effect. Can be replaced at minimal cost.

 

About the originator

Incorporated in 1994, MCSL is a deposit-taking, systemically important non-banking financial company (NBFC). Though the company started operations in 1995, it commenced lending activities in 1998 after acquiring an NBFC license. Initially, it provided gold loans, but subsequently, as the group scaled up its gold financing business in MFL, MCSL entered the two-wheeler financing segment in fiscal 1998 and gradually exited the gold loan business. MCSL is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange and is the only listed company of MPG. As on March 31, 2022, its AUM stood at Rs 2,056 crore. Around 98.5% of the total portfolio was two-wheeler loans.

 

 

Past rated pools

CRISIL Ratings has outstanding ratings on six transactions originated by MCSL. CRISIL Ratings has received the legal documents for the transactions, and receives monthly performance reports pertaining to all CRISIL Ratings-rated MCSL originated securitisation transactions.

 

Key Financial Indicators

Particulars

Unit

Mar – 2022

March - 2021

March - 2020

Total assets

Rs crore

2075

2560

2,913

Total income

Rs crore

398

505

587

Profit after tax

Rs crore

-172

51.5

60

Gross NPA (90+ dpd)

%

18.6

8.7

6.8

Adjusted gearing

Times

4.2

3.4

4.7

Return on managed assets

%

-7.4

1.9

1.8

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

Type of Instrument

Rated Amount

(Rs crore)

Date of Allotment

Maturity Date&

Coupon Rate (%)

Complexity Level

Outstanding

Rating

Credit cum liquidity Enhancement* (Rs crore)

Series A1 PTCs

107.60

30-Sep-22

17-March-26

8.60%

Highly Complex

Provisional CRISIL AA (SO)

9.12

Series A2 PTCs

3.65

30-Sep-22

17-March-26

10.0%

Highly Complex

Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)

9.12

1 crore = 10 million

&Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option

*Additional credit support includes Rs. 31.02 crore in form of scheduled cash flow subordination (assuming zero prepayments) (25.5% of pool principal) for Series A1 PTCs and Rs 26.77 crore (22.0% of pool principal) for Series A2 PTCs

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2022 (History) 2021  2020  2019  Start of 2019
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Series A1 PTCs LT 107.6 Provisional CRISIL AA (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
Series A2 PTCs LT 3.65 Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
CRISILs rating methodology for ABS transactions
Legal analysis in structured finance transactions
Evaluating risks in securitisation transactions - A primer

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