Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
- Strong sponsor with competent management that will provide operational and financial support
The Schloss group is spearheaded by Brookfield’s highly experienced senior management team. Brookfield has significant experience in the hospitality space, with about USD 13 billion of hospitality assets under management globally (275 hotels totalling about 44,000 keys). Brookfield has successfully turned around hospitality assets globally and the senior management has significant experience in managing hotels.
Brookfield will draw on its global expertise to turn around the properties in India. Furthermore, its financial ability to support the investment has also been taken into account, given its long-term horizon and criticality of the investment.
The transaction is Brookfield’s first hospitality investment in India. Acquisition of the Leela brand will allow the sponsor to leverage it and expand its presence nationally
- Strong brand in the luxury hospitality segment
Leela is an established brand in the luxury hotel space with presence in key Indian markets, which have high entry barriers and are strategically important. Presence in prime locations has helped these properties attract both leisure and business demand.
Given the strong brand position, these properties have maintained occupancy and average room rentals higher than the industry average over the past three years.
- Co-obligor structure and creation of DSRA
With the presence of a co-obligor structure, surplus cash flow after debt servicing in any SPV will be available to fund shortfall in others, thus supporting the consolidated debt service coverage ratio (DSCR). Liquidity, equivalent to three months of principal and interest obligation, shall be maintained from the end of the fourth year (fiscal 2023).
Besides, the long-term debt has a ballooning repayment structure with only 1% due over the first three years and around 25% due over the subsequent five years, giving ample time for the properties to stabilise operations under the current management. Furthermore, while the DSCR is expected to be modest in the initial years, fresh equity or CCDs of up to Rs 300 crore will be available to cover any shortfall in debt servicing during the entire tenure of the debt. The corporate guarantee provided by Brookfield to the lenders provides additional comfort. Ability of BSREP III to provide support in the initial years, when operations may take some time to stabilise, enhances liquidity and financial flexibility.
- Cost-saving measures undertaken to support operational efficiencies
The group has initiated several cost-cutting measures across its properties to reduce operational losses and has achieved break-even in recent months, despite low occupancy.
Brookfield has brought in its global experience of operating premium hotel properties to improve the Schloss group’s operating efficiency. Redistribution of employees to managed properties to reduce excess staffing, reskilling of employees, central renegotiation of service and supply contracts across all the properties for better terms are some of the initiatives undertaken. These initiatives are expected to result in permanent cost saving of Rs 40-45 crore across the SPVs.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to risks related to cyclicality and seasonality in the hospitality industry
The hospitality sector is susceptible to downturns in the domestic and international economies. Business destinations are more sensitive to macroeconomic factors. For example, growth in RevPAR in business destinations is more sensitive to macroeconomic indicators, such as nominal growth in gross domestic product. On the other hand, leisure destinations are more sensitive to non-economic factors, such as terror attacks and health-related travel warnings as seen during the pandemic. Besides, RevPAR of premium hotels declines more sharply during downturns, in comparison to mid-sized or economy hotels, but operating cost remains high. Thus, cash flow from these properties is more susceptible to downturns.
- Improvement in performance delayed by the pandemic
Before their acquisition by Brookfield, the performance of the Leela properties had weakened over the five fiscals through 2019 due to shrinking marketing spends, funding constraints for maintenance of properties, as well as increasing overheads. As a result, growth in occupancy and room rental was significantly lower than that of peers in each of the micro-markets.
Post-acquisition by Brookfield in fiscal 2020, the occupancy and profitability were expected to improve, given the initiatives taken by Brookfield to improve operational performance. While the performance improved initially, leading to higher profitability till February 2020, the pandemic-induced lockdowns impacted occupancy in fiscals 2021 and 2022. Nonetheless, steps taken by the management and Brookfield are likely to benefit as the operations ramp up.
- Average financial risk profile
Consolidated debt is estimated at Rs 3,024 crore as on March 31, 2021. There are nominal principal obligations till fiscal 2022. With recovery from the impact of the pandemic likely to be delayed, ramp-up in cash flow is expected to be pushed back. However, support from Brookfield is expected in the interim. DSCR is projected at 1.10-1.20 times over the next eight years, which will keep the financial risk profile average in the medium term.
Gearing is expected to remain high over 1.5 times over the next few years. Debt protection metrics will remain subdued, with interest coverage ratio (excluding interest on CCDs) expected at 1.0-1.2 times.
The cushion in debt servicing may erode in later years given the higher quantum of debt repayment from the eighth year. However, the overall debt burden in later years could be significantly lower as Brookfield plans to deploy surplus cash generated each year towards prepayment of debt. Also, the risk of refinancing appears to be limited, given the valuation of the properties and the potential to generate healthy cash flow in the long term.