Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Established market position and track record with regionally diversified presence
After exiting CDR in 2017, Spandana grew to become the second-largest NBFC-MFI (non-banking financial company/microfinance institution) in the country based on microfinance loan portfolio and the third-largest in terms of consolidated AUM (including non-microfinance loan portfolio) as of March 31, 2021 – registering a 3-year CAGR of 27%. However, the AUM declined over fiscal 2022 owing to sporadic lockdowns amidst the second pandemic wave restricting field movement – further challenged by operational and management related issues. Disbursements, which remained muted for most of fiscal 2022 owing to the second wave followed by company specific internal issues, have started to revive. As against Rs 215 crore disbursed in Q1 2022, the company disbursed Rs 1220 crore in Q1 2023 and plans to maintain an average run rate of Rs 1000-1500 crore on a quarterly basis, on an average. Having started the business in 2003, the company has a long track record of operating across business cycles and navigating through landmark challenges such as the Andhra Pradesh crisis in 2010, demonetisation and the ongoing pandemic. Market position also benefits from the geographical diversity in loan portfolio. On June 30, 2022, the highest microfinance exposure to any single state was 16% against the company’s internal limit of 20% per state; exposure to top three states (Madhya Pradesh, Odisha and Karnataka) was 42.2% for the overall AUM.
- Sound risk management policies; collections and credit costs remain near term monitorables
After undergoing major challenges post-2010, the company has strengthened its operational mechanism and risk management practices. Its focus around geographical concentration, collections, delinquencies, operational metrics such as per unit (branch, loan officer) AUM concentration, leverage and other key parameters, increased significantly. This approach allowed Spandana to maintain low delinquencies ever since its exit from Corporate Debt Restructuring scheme (CDR) in 2017. In the recent past, asset quality remained vulnerable due to pandemic imposed challenges – and was further challenged by operational disruptions following the erratic changes in leadership. However, the situation has started to stabilize since then with gradual reduction in NPAs and increase in monthly collection efficiency. GNPAs, after peaking at 17.2% on March 31, 2022, have reduced to 6.7% as of June 30, 2022 – driven by write off of Rs 702 crore in Q1 2023. The company’s NNPA as on June 30, 2022 was 3.4%. In terms of delinquencies, while the company’s own book performance has been stabilizing – reflected in a 30+ and 90+ dpd of 10.2% and 6.7% as of June 30, 2022, the performance of off-book portfolio remains vulnerable. As on June 30, 2022, while 90+ PAR for Spandana’s own book was 5.5%, for the direct assignment book – 90+ PAR was 79%. Nonetheless, the company has provision coverage of 5% over total AUM as on June 30, 2022 of which, 78% is allocated for stage II and III assets. Spandana had cumulatively restructured ~Rs 1300 crore under scheme I and II of which Rs 406 crore was outstanding as of June 30, 2022. Collections, which had declined to 81% in November 2021 owing to lagged recovery post Covid-19 and high attrition in the field staff, revived to 92% in December 2021 and further to 107% for Q1 2023. In addition, the company has recovered a small amount from portfolio that has been written off and expects a cumulative recovery of 15-20% from the total credit losses incurred due to Covid-19.
As Spandana has already taken majority of the credit loss hit, incremental impact is expected to be low. With improvement in resolution across early delinquency buckets and sound performance of the portfolio generated post Covid-19, NPAs are expected to stabilize in the near term and improve thereafter. However, performance of the restructured portfolio and ability sustain delinquencies at low levels for the post Covid-19 AUM remain a key monitorable.
- Healthy capitalisation metrics
Spandana’s capital position has remained comfortable in relation to scale and nature of business. On March 31 and June 30, 2022, reported networth was Rs 3,090 crore and Rs 2,820 crore, respectively. On the same dates, adjusted gearing was low at 1.42 times and 1.29 times. Capital adequacy ratio on June 30, 2022 was also robust at 47.9%. Over the decade through fiscal 2020, the company has raised about Rs 665 crore as fresh equity (including its initial public offer [IPO]) and Rs 791 crore (excluding premium/discount) through debt conversion during CDR. Incrementally, Rs 354 crore (excluding premium/discount) was raised as fresh Cumulative Convertible Preference Shares (CCPS) which were eventually converted into equity. Apart from that, the company has generated Rs 1,462 crore of cumulative profits over fiscal 2014-2021, which offset the accumulated losses of Rs 1,185 crore as on March 31, 2013. In March 2022, the company has raised another Rs 215 crore as equity share capital and another Rs 85 crore as warrants. On a steady state basis, capital position shall remain healthy, backed by the company’s philosophy of maintaining gearing at sub-5 times and capital adequacy at above 25%. Support of established investors like Kedaara Capital also adds to this strength.
- Above-average operating profitability
Pre-provisioning earnings profile of Spandana has remained above average – as reflected in a 5 year PPOP to average managed assets ratio of ~8% through fiscal 2022. This is supported by the company’s low operating expense ratio. Its overall RoMA was also healthy at ~4.5% until fiscal 2020 post which, elevation in credit costs due to Covid-19 resulted in moderation in profitability for fiscal 2021 and 2022. From sub 2% previously, credit costs increased to 7.0% for fiscal 2021 and stood at 5.4% for fiscal 2022. Correspondingly, RoMA – having remained above 4% on an average – declined to 1.6% for fiscal 2021 and further to 0.8% for fiscal 2022. For fiscal 2022, net interest margins also compressed due to increased reversals. With stabilizing collections and asset quality performance and, ability to charge higher yields after removal of cap on interest rate margins for MFIs, the company’s operating profitability is expected to be strengthened further. Over the medium term, the company’s ability to curtail incremental slippages from the restructured portfolio and maintain the quality of book created post pandemic, will remain a crucial factor from an earnings perspective.
Weaknesses:
The share of assignments and securitization in the company’s funding profile has remained high. 49.0% of the total borrowings outstanding as on March 31, 2020 comprised direct assignments and securitization. While this share has declined to 11.2% as of March 31, 2022 as growth itself declined, its share is expected to remain significant in the normal course of business. As on June 30, 2022, majority funding was sourced as term borrowing from banks followed by capital market issuances. The company’s cost of borrowing has remained on the higher side at ~11%, historically. In Q1 2023, the company raised Rs 155 crore whereas in Q2 2023, it raised Rs 955 crore of which, Rs 559 crore was drawn down. Its ability to increase the share of public banks in its funding base over the medium term remains a monitorable.
- Susceptibility to local socio-political issues in the microfinance sector and inherent weakness in the borrower credit risk profile
The microfinance sector has witnessed two major disruptive events in the past decade. The first was the crisis promulgated by the ordinance passed by the Government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 and the second was demonetization in 2016. In addition, the sector has faced issues of varying intensity in several geographies. Promulgation of the ordinance on MFIs by the Government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 demonstrated their vulnerability to regulatory and legislative risks. The ordinance triggered a chain of events that adversely affected the business models of MFIs by impairing their growth, asset quality, profitability, and solvency. Similarly, the sector witnessed high level of delinquencies post-demonetization and the subsequent socio-political events. For Spandana, the impact of demonetization was relatively less as compared to peers. Since March 2020, collections have remained weak in most of the states due to on and off lockdowns and vulnerable cash flows of the borrowers. This indicates the fragility of the business model against external risks. As business involves lending to the poor and downtrodden sections of the society, MFIs will remain exposed to socially sensitive factors, including charging of high interest rates and consequently, tighter regulations and legislation.
- Limited track record of stability in senior management, remains a monitorable
Over the last three years, churn in the senior management team has remained high – especially for important positions such as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Risk Officer. In the month of September 2021, the officiating Chief Financial Officer and the Chief Strategy Officer, tendered their resignations with notice periods of 1 day and 1 month 15 days, respectively. The founder-promoter, Ms Padmaja Reddy who was spearheading this organization since inception, also resigned on November 2, 2021. After that, the attrition across management levels has seemingly increased leading to operational challenges. While the company has been able to fill the key positions and gradual stabilization in leadership is being achieved, operational flow has also smoothened however, the track record in the same is yet to be established.