Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Strategic importance to, and expectation of strong support from, TVS Motor
As a captive financing arm, TVS Credit remains integral to TVS Motor's plans to increase its market share. TVS Credit finances 20-26% of the parent's domestic sales by volume. TVS Credit operates through TVS Motor's ~1100 strong dealer/3100+ sub-dealer network for sourcing clientele. The synchronised planning and sales efforts highlight the strategic importance of TVS Credit to TVS Motor.
TVS Motor is India's fourth-largest two-wheeler (including mopeds) manufacturer and second-largest exporter of motorcycles. It will continue to benefit from its strong market position and proposed launches in different two-wheeler segments. TVS Motor’s two-wheeler (motorcycles and scooters) volumes grew by 15% despite decline in industry volumes by 2%. Its domestic two-wheeler (motorcycles and scooters) market share therefore improved to ~15% in fiscal 2022 from ~13% in previous fiscal. TVS Motor’s business risk profile also benefits from the technological tie-up with BMW Motorrad for manufacturing two wheelers and expansion in export markets (Central America and Sri Lanka). The company is also entering the EV space with substantial investments expected over the next 3-4 years for manufacturing vehicles across categories.
The acquisition of the British motorcycle brand ‘Norton’ and associated assets from Norton Motorcycles Holdings Ltd and Norton Motorcycles (UK) Ltd amongst others, will help TVS Motor diversify its offerings in the premium segment in European and Indian markets. Albeit volumes are not expected to be meaningful in the near term and TVS Motors is expected to provide support to Norton over the medium term.
Operating profitability is expected to continue to improve as regular price hikes and benefits of past cost cutting measures has restricted the impact of rising commodity prices. Moreover, operations at the Indonesian subsidiary have also been improving with company booking profits in fiscal 2021 and fiscal 2022.
TVS Credit continues to receive strong financial, operational, and management support from TVS Motor. The total shareholding (direct and indirect) of TVS Motor in TVS Credit Services Ltd stood at 84.24% as on June 30, 2022. The parent has infused Rs 792 crore of capital since fiscal 2012. Latest of which were Rs 100 crore infused in the fiscal 2022. This regular support has resulted in adequate capitalisation, with TVS Credit having a networth of Rs 1,949 crore and gearing of 7.7 times as on June 30, 2022.
TVS Motor also provides managerial support to TVS Credit. TVS Motor’s chairman and three directors are on the board of TVS Credit and several senior management personnel have been with the TVS group for several years. These factors and the shared brand name reflect robust linkages between TVS Motor and TVS Credit and imply a strong moral obligation on the part of TVS Motor to support TVS Credit.
Improving scale of operations
The scale of operations has improved significantly over the past few fiscals. Loan book stood at Rs 15,967 crore as on June 30, 2022, from Rs 14,403 crore as on March 31, 2022 (Rs 11,445 crore as on March 31, 2021). In the last five years till fiscal 2022, the AUM has grown at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23%. Venturing into products like consumer durables, used commercial vehicle, cross sell (personal loans to existing customers) and business loans has also enhanced product diversity. Contribution of two-wheeler loans, while remaining the largest, has gradually declined and stood at 29% as on June 30, 2022, compared to 51% as on March 31, 2016. With increased focus on diversity, the contribution of two-wheeler loans is expected to decline further. The company has also expanded its presence to 26 states, which has resulted in reduction in its portfolio concentration in South India over years.
Strong process orientation
The company makes significant investments in people, processes, and systems to ensure strong origination, underwriting, and collection processes. Borrowers are categorised into multiple risk brackets based on their origination characteristics and repayment patterns to focus collection efforts on accounts that show higher propensity for delays. Furthermore, senior management members have worked with TVS Motor's dealers closely, establishing relationships and enabling better co-ordination in terms of origination and collections for two-wheeler loans. Strong systems and processes are expected to enable TVS Credit to maintain sound asset quality. While there was an uptick in delinquencies due to impact of Covid-19 pandemic, the same has come down in recent quarters. As a result, coupled with conservative write-off policy, the gross stage 3 assets (GS3) stood at 3.7% as on March 31, 2022, as compared to 3.7% (gross non-performing assets [GNPA] were at 5.0%) as on March 31, 2021. It further improved to 3.1% as on June 30, 2022.
Nevertheless, ability manage asset quality via efficient processes and controls as the company scales up and diversifies into other product segments, will remain monitorable.
Weaknesses
Average earnings profile
Overall profitability was constrained by elevated provisioning costs in recent years. The company reported a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 121 crore for fiscal 2022, 24% higher from Rs 97 crore for fiscal 2021. However, the return on assets ratio (RoA) stood at 0.9% for both the fiscals, as compared to 1.6% and 1.9%, respectively, for fiscal 2020 and fiscal 2019. Credit cost remained elevated at 4.0 for fiscal 2022 (4.1% for fiscal 2021) as compared to 2.9% for fiscal 2020 and 2.2% for fiscal 2019. The company reported PAT of Rs 83 crore, and annualized RoA of 2.0% in the three months ended June 30, 2022, on the back of higher net interest margin and lower credit cost (2.6%).
Nevertheless, core profitability continues to be supported by a high net interest margin (NIM), which stood at 12.9% for the three months ended June 30, 2022, and 12.0% for fiscal 2022 (11.7% for fiscal 2021). NIM is bolstered by a large presence in high yielding segments and competitive cost of funds. However, given the small ticket size, and large distribution and collection infrastructure, operating costs are high as reflected in the operating expense ratio of average total assets of 10.1% for the three months ended June 30, 2022, and 9.1% for fiscal 2022 (8.3% for fiscal 2021). The provision coverage ratio stood at 53% as on June 30, 2022. Any significant deterioration in asset quality leading to negatively impacting profitability will be monitored over near to medium term.
Exposure to risks related to the inherently weak credit risk profiles of borrowers
The borrowers in most of the operational segments have inherently weak credit risk profiles. Industry delinquency levels in the two-wheeler finance business, the company's dominant product, have historically remained higher on account of weaker borrower profiles and low resale value of the used asset. While for TVS Credit, GS3 in the two-wheeler portfolio remained comparatively lower, the portfolio has grown rapidly over years and the current difficult macro-economic conditions has led to inch up in delinquencies. Moreover, the focus is on customers, who have Ltd access to bank finance. The borrower profiles in the used-car and tractor segments are similar. Furthermore, the tractor segment, which accounts for 28% of the portfolio as on June 30, 2022, is mainly linked to the position of agriculture and the rural economy. Because of the inherently risky borrower segment and the current Covid-19 situation, maintaining asset quality over the near to medium term will remain a key monitorable.