Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Healthy market presence and product offerings
Tagros is one of the leading players in the Indian agrochemical industry with healthy market position in pyrethroids range of insecticides (it is among the leading players globally, besides India, in synthetic pyrethroids) and improving presence in herbicides. The company derives about ~90%. of revenues from manufacture and sale of technicals, while balance comes from formulations. The company has been diversifying its product portfolio in last the 3-4 years by increasing focus on herbicides and enhancing capacities towards the same. Tagros’s market position is supported by its capability to synthesise molecules with high purity and also at low cost. This is reflected in the company’s ability to secure supply contracts with leading MNCs.
Steady increase in product registrations across the globe
In terms of geographic spread, more than 85% of revenue is derived from exports and ~15% from domestic market. Within exports, the company sells to over 90 countries spread across Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and Africa. The presence in the global market is supported by an extensive portfolio of product registrations. There are over 500 registrations across North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. The company continues to focus on expanding its geographic reach through steady increase in registrations.
Tie-up with leading global agrochemical companies
Tagros has strong tie-ups with leading global players. Strong registration portfolio and process chemistry skills have enabled it to strengthen these relationships. Recently, it also secured another long-term supply contract with significant offtake potential for its new capacity. Given their superior chemistry skills, the company has got repeat orders from customers, resulting in the revenue increasing at a healthy compound annual growth rate of 25% between fiscals 2017 and 2021 and also a commands a premium pricing for products which is reflected in the healthy margins of over 25%. The company is expected to leverage these relationships while introducing new products as well.
Healthy operating efficiency supported by backward integration, strong in-house R&D capability and process patents
Operations are almost fully backward integrated. The company has the capability to manufacture a series of key active intermediates in-house and, hence, is one of the low-cost producers of synthetic pyrethroids. There is still part dependence on China for some of the new products introduced. Overall, the company’s import dependence is low at about 25-30%. Further, the company has a strong in-house R&D team which focuses on new product launches and process improvement. Strong process chemistry skills and backward integration should result in sustenance of healthy operating profitability of over 25% in the medium term as well.
Comfortable and improving financial risk profile
The company’s net worth is healthy at Rs 927 crore and the gearing at around 0.7 times as on March 31, 2021. Accretion to profits has been lower despite high profits due to periodic dividend and share buybacks in recent years. Debt protection metrics are also strong, with interest coverage ratio estimated at around 11 times for fiscal 2022, gearing at 0.6-0.7 times, and TOL/TNW at 1.2-1.3 times. However, prior to fiscal 2016, debt metrics were moderate, due to debt funding expansions in the past. Thereafter, improving cash generation driven by healthy profitability and prudent working capital management has enabled an improvement in the debt metrics.
Capex is expected to sustain at Rs 150-200 crore annually over the medium term necessitated by high capacity utilization at existing plants, and new product pipeline. No long term debt is expected to be availed, though increasing business levels may necessitate higher working capital borrowings. Company is also expected to continue to do share buybacks over the medium term as well. Notwithstanding these payouts and capex, healthy cash generation from operations and progressive repayment of existing long term debt should result in key debt protection metrics; gearing is expected below 0.5 times and TOL/TNW ~1 time by fiscal 2023.
Weaknesses
Product Concentration
Product and customer concentration does exist. Revenue contribution from select product has increased significantly in recent times and accounts for about 45-50% of revenues. However, this is partly offset by sound supply terms, and some degree of diversity through end markets and crop applications for this product. Also, to some extent risk is mitigated by the fact that sizeable share of the customer’s requirements are met by supplies from Tagros, and the customer is among the top 5 agrochemical firms globally, besides being the largest seller of the particular product. Company’s plans to launch new molecules every year, with strong underlying chemistry and foray into new segments should help improve diversity and also increase contribution from other products as well over the medium term. Tagros has already taken steps to reduce client concentration by on boarding other large global agrochemical players in the current fiscal. These will be key to enhancing the business diversity.
Exposure to inherent risks in the agrochemical sector
The agrochemical industry is highly regulated by specific and separate registration processes in different countries, and is subject to various environmental rules and regulations both in domestic and overseas markets. Tagros is mainly an exporter and remains sensitive to changes in government policies and regulations in end-user countries. Any change in export and import policies of these countries will also have an impact on Indian agrochemical manufacturers. Further, any ban on key products will pose a threat to business levels of these players.
The company’s products are off-patent molecules and the competitive advantage lies in process chemistry. Therefore, it is at risk of addition of newer products to the generics portfolio as molecules go off-patent and also to introduction of newer molecules in the market as substitutes for existing products by innovators.
Working capital-intensive operations
Operations of companies in the agrochemical sector are typically working capital intensive due to high inventory requirements given seasonal nature of operations and extended credit cycles. Tagros’s gross current assets (GCA) days were also high at 170-180 days in the last three years through fiscal 2021. However, company has been taking measures to reduce the same by way of availing bill discounting facility for receivables from key clients. Nevertheless, considering the steady growth prospects, incremental working capital requirements will remain large and any material elongation in the working capital cycle will be a monitorable.