Rating Rationale
June 08, 2018 | Mumbai
Titagarh Wagons Limited
Ratings downgraded to 'CRISIL A-/Negative/CRISIL A2+'
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.740 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL A-/Negative (Downgraded from 'CRISIL A/Stable')
Short Term Rating CRISIL A2+ (Downgraded from 'CRISIL A1')
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has downgraded its ratings on the bank loan facilities of Titagarh Wagons Limited (TWL; part of the Titagarh group) to 'CRISIL A-/Negative/CRISIL A2+' from 'CRISIL A/Stable/CRISIL A1'.

The downgrade reflects CRISIL's belief that the group's operating performance will remain weaker-than-expected, impacting the financial risk profile. Consolidated revenue fell by 46.2% in Q4 of fiscal 2018 as compared to corresponding period of previous fiscal and operation profit before depreciation, interest and taxes (OPBDIT) has fallen to -35.6% from 5.49% as compared to previous year. The performance was impacted in the overseas subsidiaries as well as standalone operations.

The Italian subsidiary, (Titagarh Firema SpA [TF]) recognised one off provisions of Euro 10.8 million (equivalent to around Rs 81 crore) during Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2018 for anticipated losses and penalties likely to arise on the legacy orders inherited on the acquisition. The group is in active negotiations with the customer to renegotiate and reduce the penalty. Discounting, the one-time impact of provision/ write-off of losses, OPBDIT margin in TF declined by 816 bps on a y-o-y basis to -1.24%. The French subsidiary (Titagarh Wagons AFR [TWA]), faced technical issues in bogies which led to disruption in operations and incurred a loss of about Euro 5.5 million (equivalent to Rs 44 crore) for fiscal 2018. 33% of the revenue from TWA was from loss making orders executed to enter into the stainless steel wagons segment. Domestically, delay in the receipt of orders from Indian Railways led to underutilisation of capacity and poor absorption of fixed costs leading to profit after tax (PAT) loss of Rs 19.4 crore in fiscal 2018.

The order book grew by 11.8% to Rs 2510 crore as on March 31, 2018 from Rs 2245 crore a year earlier, driven by increase in domestic orders. The company had received orders of Rs 556 crore in the wagons segment from Indian Railways in December 2017. Domestic orders grew by 78% to Rs 1345 crore as on March 31, 2018, from Rs 654 crore as on March 31, 2017, including orders from shipbuilding, defense and bridges segments. Timely execution of these orders will support overall performance over the medium term. The company is also well-placed to bid for orders in the higher value segment (such as metro coaches in India), given its access to requisite technology from foreign collaborations. TF's order book of Euro 168 million (equivalent to around Rs 1,300 crore), includes Euro 62 million (equivalent to around Rs 500 crore) from legacy orders, while TWA's order book of Euro 24million (equivalent to Rs 188 crore) may continue to constrain the profitability over the medium term. Return on capital employed (RoCE) is expected to remain below 5% for fiscal 2019.

Weak operating performance has adversely impacted the debt protection metrics. Total debt increased by Rs 200 crore to Rs 576 crore in fiscal 2018, deteriorating the financial risk profile. Majority of the debt (around Rs 350-400 crore) is held in overseas subsidiaries where profitability will remain constrained. Consequently, the interest coverage ratio and net cash accrual to total debt are negative for fiscal 2018 as compared to 4.13 times and 0.21 time for fiscal 2017, respectively. Working capital position has not improved as expected and the gross current assets (GCA) of 447 days as on March 31, 2018 remains at similar levels of 439 days as of September 2017. GCA is expected to be below 400 days over the medium term and remains a key monitorable.

Negative outlook reflects CRISIL's expectation that Titagarh group's credit profile may be constrained by European operations. The rating may be downgraded further in case of continued losses in European operations or delay in order book execution in either domestic or foreign businesses.

The ratings continue to reflect the group's established market position in the wagon-manufacturing industry, and healthy capital structure and have benefited from diversification into shipbuilding, bridge building and defense segments.  These rating strengths are partially offset by dependence on the domestic businesses based on timely release of orders by Indian Railways, and the large working capital requirement.

Analytical Approach

For arriving at its ratings, CRISIL has combined the business and financial risk profiles of TWL, Cimmco Ltd (Cimmco), Titagarh Wagons-AFR, Titagarh Firema SpA (TF) Titagarh Capital Pvt Ltd and Titagarh Singapore Pte Ltd all together referred to as the Titagarh group. Unearned revenue is estimated as Rs 450 crore for fiscal 2018 and has been adjusted as part of inventories from other current assets.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
* Strong business profile due to established position in the wagon-manufacturing industry and diversification into newer segments: The group is one of India's largest wagon manufacturer, with a capacity of 8,400 wagons per annum (including Cimmco). It accounts for around 24% of orders, released by the Indian Railway in fiscal 2018, and is one of the six leading players in the sector. The company has diversified its operations and entered into the shipbuilding and defense segments and currently has an order book of around Rs 300 crore in the new segments to be delivered within the next 12-18 months.

* Healthy capital structure: Financial risk profile benefits from a large networth of Rs 879 crore and gearing of 0.66 time as on March 31, 2018. Though losses in fiscal 2018, and increase in debt levels have had an adverse impact, gearing continues to be adequate. However, debt protection metrics have weakened, with interest coverage ratio and net cash accrual to total debt being negative for fiscal 2018. These metrics may improve in fiscal 2019, aided by execution of domestic orders.

Weaknesses
* Profitability constrained by intense competition: The domestic wagon manufacturing industry has six major players. Overall capacity is estimated to be at 35,000 wagons per annum, against orders for 8,000 ' 12,000 wagons released by the Indian Railways annually, in the last few years. These orders are bid on fixed price, with any cost escalation to be borne by the manufacturer.

* Large working capital requirement: The group has a large working capital requirement, given its sizeable inventory, though a large part has been funded through internal accrual. Inventory is high, owing to nature of work, requiring each rake to be dispatched at a time. Inventory has been at levels of 100-250 days in the past.
Outlook: Negative

CRISIL believes that the group's credit profile may be constrained by European operations, but partially supported by domestic operations in the medium term.

Upward scenario
* Group's diversification efforts or increased allocation of high-margin railway wagons lead to a significant improvement in its profitability
* Capital structure improves probably due to reduction in working capital intensity

Downward scenario
* Operating performance deteriorates because of a slowdown in execution, thereby adversely impacting profitability.
* Capital structure deteriorates
* Stretch in the working capital position.

About the Group

TWL was set up in July 1997, by the promoter, Mr Jagdish Prasad Chowdhary. The company manufactures various types of freight wagons, bailey bridges, heavy earth-moving and mining equipment, steel and Spheroidal Graphite (SG) iron castings, and other products. Operations are managed by Mr Umesh Chowdhary. There are three manufacturing facilities, two at Titagarh and one at Uttarpara (both in West Bengal). TWL has a capacity to manufacture 6,000 wagons and 36 electric multiple unit (EMU) coaches, and process around 30,000 tonne of casting steel, per annum. The group also has a capacity to manufacture bridges, shelters, heavy earth-moving machinery, and spares. It also has a shipbuilding division which delivered its first ship, a 1000T fuel tanker, to the Indian Navy in May 2018.

The group has made three acquisitions since 2010, namely Cimmco Ltd with a wagon manufacturing capacity of 2400 wagons per annum, Titagarh Wagons-AFR, a France-based freight wagon company with capacity to manufacture 2000 wagons per annum and Firema, which aided the foray into global metro coaches and high-speed passenger train sets segments.

In July 2016, TWL amalgamated its subsidiary, Cimco Equity Holdings Pvt Ltd, which was a holding company (for Cimmco), and its shipbuilding vertical housed under Times Marine Enterprises Pvt Ltd, Corporated Shipyard Pvt Ltd, and Titagarh Marine Ltd, with itself.

Key Financial Indicators
As on/for the period ended Mar 31 2018 2017
Revenue Rs Crore 1,268 964
Profit After Tax (PAT) Rs Crore -147 -24
PAT Margin % -11.6 -2.5
Adjusted Debt/Adjusted Networth Times 0.66 0.23
Interest Coverage Times -1.52 2.92

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of instrument Date of allotment Coupon rate (%) Maturity date Issue size (Rs cr) Rating assigned with outlook
NA Cash Credit NA NA NA 140 CRISIL A-/Negative
NA Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee NA NA NA 600 CRISIL A2+
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2018 (History) 2017  2016  2015  Start of 2015
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  140.00  CRISIL A-/Negative  26-02-18  CRISIL A/Stable  27-10-17  CRISIL A+/Stable  28-12-16  CRISIL A+/Stable  29-09-15  CRISIL A+/Stable  CRISIL A+/Negative 
                    02-07-15  CRISIL A+/Watch Developing   
                    20-03-15  CRISIL A+/Stable   
Non Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  600.00  CRISIL A2+  26-02-18  CRISIL A1  27-10-17  CRISIL A1  28-12-16  CRISIL A1  29-09-15  CRISIL A1  CRISIL A1 
                    02-07-15  CRISIL A1/Watch Developing   
                    20-03-15  CRISIL A1   
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Cash Credit 140 CRISIL A-/Negative Cash Credit 140 CRISIL A/Stable
Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 600 CRISIL A2+ Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 600 CRISIL A1
Total 740 -- Total 740 --
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
Rating Criteria for Engineering Sector
CRISILs Criteria for Consolidation
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt

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