Rating Rationale
December 10, 2019 | Mumbai
Vardhman Special Steels Limited
Rating outlook revised to 'Negative'; ratings reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.546.52 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL AA/Negative (Outlook revised from 'Stable' and rating reaffirmed)
Short Term Rating CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
 
Rs.150 Crore Commercial Paper CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has revised its rating outlook on the long-term bank facilities of Vardhman Special Steels Limited (VSSL) to 'Negative' from 'Stable' while reaffirming the rating at 'CRISIL AA'; the short-term rating has been reaffirmed at 'CRISIL A1+'.

The revision in outlook reflects the weak performance during first half of fiscal 2020 owing to adverse market conditions in the automobile industry as well as a planned plant shutdown in first half of fiscal 2020. VSSL reported 20% year-on year decline in revenues and moderation of 190 bps in operating margin to 4% during first half of fiscal 2020. The company mainly caters to steel requirement by automotive sector which contributes over 80% of overall revenue of the company. The moderation in operating margin was due to negative operating leverage owing to lower capacity utilization as well as large inventory loss post fall in steel prices. The company had built a large inventory (almost twice of normal inventory levels) in March 2019 in the anticipation of planned shutdown in first half of fiscal 2020. The inventory has reduced significantly as on 30th September 2019.

For remaining of fiscal 2020, operating performance is expected to remain moderate, owing to expected muted automobile demand in near term. As a result, cash accruals are expected to moderate to around Rs. 20 crore during current fiscal from around Rs. 45 crore in fiscal 2019. Debt protection metrics also has moderated owing to lower operating profitability, for instance interest coverage is expected at around 1.5-1.7 times in 2020 as against around 3.2 times in 2019.

In August 2019, VSSL entered into a technical assistance agreement with Aichi Steel Corporation, Japan (ASC, a Toyota Group Associate) which also acquired 11.46% in VSSL through fresh equity issuance for Rs 50 crore. The tie up is intended to reduce operational costs, improve the product quality and improve process efficiencies through technical know-how of Aichi. Also VSSL will benefit from access to the clientele of ASC. The equity infusion of Rs 50 crore has also improved the financial risk profile of the company.

The ratings of VSSL continue to reflect strong support from Vardhman Group, whose flagship company, Vardhman Textiles Ltd (VTXL; rated 'CRISIL AA+/FAAA/Stable/CRISIL A1+') is the largest shareholder in VSSL. The ratings also factor in a moderate business risk profile, supported by considerable backward integration. These rating strengths are partially offset by susceptibility to cyclicality in end-user industries and an average financial risk profile.

Analytical Approach

CRISIL has applied its parent notch-up framework to factor in the extent of support from Vardhman Group (whose flagship company, VTXL is the largest shareholder in the VSSL) as the company will enjoy strong support from the group owing to its 59% shareholding in VSSL.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
* Strong support from Vardhman Group
VSSL, prior to its demerger from VTXL (flagship company of Vardhman Group), was the steel division of the latter. Operations continue to be largely controlled by the management of group even after the demerger. That's because of 58.97% of the equity shares are owned by group including VTXL, its promoters, and other promoter-holding/investment companies. Post the acquisition, ASC also holds 11.46% in the company. VSSL receives support from the group, uses the Vardhman group logo, and has common banking and treasury operations with VTXL. Any major change in the shareholding will be key rating sensitivity factor.

* Moderate business risk profile
Market position is supported by a strong customer base, including automotive original equipment manufacturers and other established players in the engineering segment. In-house manufacturing of ingots and billets, along with ability to pass on price increases, resulted in moderate operating efficiency. The management's focus on the steel business, high capacity utilisation, and considerable backward integration (around 90%) should drive improvement in the business risk profile over the medium term.

Weaknesses:
* Susceptibility to cyclicality in end-user industries
The company is a small player in the alloy steel industry, with only about 3% of the total capacity in India. Its products are used in the automotive, tractor, bearings, engineering, and allied industries; it is dependent on companies in the automotive sector for over 80% of revenue. This dependence subjects the company to risks related to cyclicality in the automotive segment as witnessed during the recent years of economic slowdown. Further, vulnerability to fluctuations in input prices persists.

* Average financial risk profile
The interest coverage ratio is expected at 1.5-1.7 times in fiscal 2019 (3.1 time in 2019). The gearing while remains high, is expected to improve to 0.7 times as on March 31, 2020 as against 0.9 times as on March 31, 2019. Improvement in gearing is on account of equity infusion of Rs 50 crore by ASC in fiscal 2020. The operating margin gradually improved over the years to 6.1% in fiscal 2019 from 2.4% in fiscal 2015 due to improving process efficiencies and increasing capacity utilizations, however has remained lower 4% in first half of fiscal 2020 owing to lower capacity utilisation.  As there are no major capex plans over medium term at present, the debt levels are expected to remain stable.
Liquidity Strong

VSSL's liquidity position is moderate; it had unutilised bank lines of Rs.50 crore at September 30, 2019 (bank limit utilisation has fluctuated between 75%-95% during January-September 2019) and is expected to generate cash accruals of ~Rs.25 crore in fiscal 2020, which should suffice to meet its term debt obligation of Rs. 12 crore for 2020. Accruals are expected to increase in fiscal 2021, which should enable the company service its debt obligations of Rs 19 crore in 2021. Presently the company has no major capex plan and focus is on increasing existing capacity utilization. Any major capex in future will be jointly done with ASC.

Outlook: Negative

CRISIL believes the operating performance will recover in line with the recovery in end user industry, while support from Vardhman Group should continue. The tie-up with ASC is also expected to support business and financial risk profile.

Rating Sensitivity factors
Upward factors:
* Substantial improvement in business performance, resulting in cash accruals increasing beyond Rs.50-60 crore
* Steady improvement in credit metrics, especially interest coverage above 3 times
 
Downward factors:
* Operating margin remaining below 5% on consistent basis affecting cash generation
* Increase in gearing beyond 1-1.2 times and interest cover remaining below 2 times on sustained basis, due to continuing weak performance, higher capex or elongation of working capital cycle
* Reduction in support from group, or downward rating action on, VTXL.
About the Company

The Vardhman group ventured into the steel business in 1972 by setting up Oswal Steels to manufacture special and alloy steels, with initial capacity of 0.5 lakh tpa. In 1986, the firm acquired a plant in Ludhiana, Punjab, and its capacity was increased to 1 lakh TPA. Oswal Steels became a division of VTXL in 1992. VTXL demerged its steel division as VSSL effective January 1, 2011. VSSL has capacity to manufacture 2.00 lakh TPA of steel billets and 2.0 lakh tpa of steel rolled products. Its manufacturing unit is equipped with a 30-tonne ultra-high-power electric arc furnace with an electro-magnetic stirrer, a vacuum degassing system, and a bloom caster.

During first six months ended 30th September 2019, VSSL posted revenue of Rs 453 crore and operating profit of Rs 18 crore as against Rs 565 crore and Rs. 33 crore respectively for similar period in corresponding year.

Key Financial Indicators
Particulars Unit 2019 2018
Revenue Rs crore 1121 859
Profit After Tax (PAT) Rs crore 22 25
PAT Margin % 2.0 2.9
Adjusted debt/adjusted networth Times 0.92 0.67
Interest coverage ratio Times 2.95 3.17
 

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of Instrument Date of Allotment Coupon Rate (%) Maturity Date Issue Size
(Rs. Crore)
Rating Assigned
with Outlook
NA Commercial Paper NA NA 7-365 days 150 CRISIL A1+
NA Cash Credit NA NA NA 200 CRISIL AA/Negative
NA Corporate Loan NA NA Mar-26 59 CRISIL AA/Negative
NA Corporate Loan NA NA Dec-23 68.85 CRISIL AA/Negative
NA Letter of credit &
Bank Guarantee
NA NA NA 175 CRISIL A1+
NA Term Loan NA NA Mar-26 13.6 CRISIL AA/Negative
NA Proposed Term Loan NA NA NA 30.07 CRISIL AA/Negative
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2019 (History) 2018  2017  2016  Start of 2016
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Commercial Paper  ST  150.00  CRISIL A1+      28-12-18  CRISIL A1+    --    --  -- 
            26-06-18  CRISIL A1+           
            16-02-18  CRISIL A1+           
Short Term Debt (Including Commercial Paper)  ST              29-06-17  CRISIL A1+  27-07-16  CRISIL A1+  CRISIL A1+ 
                09-03-17  CRISIL A1+       
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  371.52  CRISIL AA/Negative      28-12-18  CRISIL AA/Stable  29-06-17  CRISIL AA-/Positive  27-07-16  CRISIL AA-/Stable  CRISIL AA-/Stable 
            26-06-18  CRISIL AA/Stable  09-03-17  CRISIL AA-/Stable       
            16-02-18  CRISIL AA-/Positive           
Non Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  175.00  CRISIL A1+      28-12-18  CRISIL A1+  29-06-17  CRISIL A1+  27-07-16  CRISIL A1+  CRISIL A1+ 
            26-06-18  CRISIL A1+  09-03-17  CRISIL A1+       
            16-02-18  CRISIL A1+           
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Cash Credit 200 CRISIL AA/Negative Cash Credit 200 CRISIL AA/Stable
Corporate Loan 127.85 CRISIL AA/Negative Corporate Loan 140 CRISIL AA/Stable
Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 175 CRISIL A1+ Letter of credit & Bank Guarantee 175 CRISIL A1+
Proposed Term Loan 30.07 CRISIL AA/Negative Proposed Working Capital Facility 15.52 CRISIL AA/Stable
Term Loan 13.6 CRISIL AA/Negative Term Loan 16 CRISIL AA/Stable
Total 546.52 -- Total 546.52 --
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
Rating Criteria for Steel Industry
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt
Criteria for Notching up Stand Alone Ratings of Companies based on Parent Support

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