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April 11, 2023

SectorVector - Power demand and prices get a breather

Reading the topical trends

Consumption unusually contracted 1.3% on-year in March; first quarter of fiscal 2024 key to gauge demand dynamics

Figure 1: Power consumption dipped to 127 BUs in March
Figure 2: Despite power demand declining in March, power consumption logged 7% on-year growth in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023

 

The rising growth trajectory of power demand bucked the trend in March as unprecedented rainfall brought some respite from prevailing high temperatures. Although the month saw a 1.3% decline in demand, the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 witnessed 7.0% on-year growth as January and February had seen demand grow 13.7% and 10%, respectively, led by increased heating requirement in winter months and robust economic activity.

 

In fiscal 2024, soaring temperature and resilient economic activity are expected to keep power demand growing. On average, the first quarter of the fiscal should see power demand grow 4% on-year on a high base of the previous year.