• CRISIL Research First Cut
  • Views and Commentaries
  • Monetary Policy Committee
  • Credit Growth
  • RBI
  • Consumer Price Inflation
February 08, 2024

CRISIL Economy First Cut: Job not over, says Mint Road

Monetary policy | First cut

Highlights from February monetary policy review

 

  • The MPC voted with a 5-1 majority to keep policy rates unchanged. The repo rate remains at 6.50%, standing deposit facility (SDF) at 6.25% and marginal standing facility (MSF) at 6.75%
  • The monetary policy stance of ‘withdrawal of accommodation’ was maintained with a 5-1 majority
  • The consumer price inflation (CPI) forecast stands at 4.5% for fiscal 2025, down from an estimated 5.4% in the current fiscal. The MPC forecasts inflation to peak at 5% in the first quarter of fiscal 2025 and then moderate to reach 4.7% in the fourth quarter
  • India’s GDP growth is forecast to slow a tad to 7% for fiscal 2025 from 7.3% this fiscal, with quarterly estimates revised up from the previous forecast.