Ongoing Model Performance Monitoring of pricing models across various asset classes for a large US Bank

Client : Large US Bank

 

Objective

 

To provide a top-tier US bank with ongoing performance monitoring of 50+ pricing models across Rates, Equity, Forex, Commodity, Credit and CVA asset classes.

 

CRISIL's Solution

 

  • Using process standardization and automation techniques, developed an efficient and cost-effective solution to monitor models on a quarterly basis
  • Market data used is no older than the quarter prior to the assessment
  • Tests during monitoring include:
    • Convergence and Stability Tests (NPV and Greeks)
    • Consistency Tests (parity relationships, model limits, accuracy tests)
    • Stress Tests (large volatilities, negative rates)
    • PnL Attribution (30 business reports and regression tests)
  • Most tests have well-defined numerical outputs that are compared against predefined thresholds (Green/Yellow/Red)
  • Monitoring process includes documentation/reporting of the results
    • FX: Cross-Currency Swap Model
      • FX Spot Rate Sensitivity
      • DV01
      • Consistency with Single-Currency Swap
    • Credit & SP: CDS Pricer
      • Monotonicity of the Price on the Hazard Curve
      • 30 days PnL (R2)
      • Spread01

 

Process Automation

 

  • For equity and FX models, developed common python frameworks that allow running/monitoring in a standardised manner
  • Documentation performed directly from scripting
  • Infrastructure allows one analyst to monitor 14 models (tests + documentation) in less than 10 working days
  • Similar infrastructure being developed for other desks

 

Client Impact

 

  • Solution provides effective model monitoring across asset classes, faster and at lower cost 
  • Test results presented in well-defined presentation with comparison to pre-defined thresholds using color coding, allowing for easy analysis and enhanced decision making

Questions

 

Looking for high-end research and risk services? Reach out to us at:

 

United States
1-855-595-2100/
+1 646 292 3520

 

United Kingdom
+44 (0) 870 333 6336

India
+91 22 33 42 3000 /
+91 22 61 72 3000