Econometric Modelling to assess the vulnerability of a select portfolio to "exceptional but plausible" macroeconomic shocks for a large Europe based Investment Bank

Client : Large European Investment Bank

 

Objective

 

To help a large European Investment Bank assess the vulnerability of a select portfolio to "exceptional but plausible" macroeconomic shocks.

 

CRISIL's Solution

 

CRISIL’s team of experts conducted econometric analysis of the risk factors data to develop appropriate statistical models covering 14 different types of macro-economic variables including economic growth (GDP), price stability (WPI, CPI), interest rates, financial market performance (Dow Jones, NYMEX), and FX.

 

Client Impact

 

The CRISL model, which was delivered on time and within budget, outperformed the Investment Bank’s original (direct shock approach) benchmark in terms of capital optimization.

Questions

 

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